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pokerroomace
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11-29-2006, 06:40 PM
Post subject: Which signup bonuses mathematically profitable?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 783
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Everyone seem to profit at Starluck and Planetluck so it seems that they are +EV to play at.
Has anyone worked how much +EV the casinos are if you optimum strategy?
Are any of these bonuses -EV?
Thanks
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swiggidy
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Waiting in the shadows ...
Posts: 3,777
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BJ is only -0.5% or something. So if you're betting $2 you expect to loose 1c.
If the bonus takes 1000 hands to clear $100, then you are making 10c per hand. Your expectation is now +9c per hand. I don't know the actual numbers, but it should be easy to figure out. It's extremely unlikely a bonus would be -eV.
The bigger concern is chance of going busto because of variance. I meant to do the calculations one day but got lazy. A $2 bet from a $100 roll has a pretty small chance I believe.
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(\__/)
(='.'=)
(")_(")
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lolzzz_321
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NO YOU
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: My ice is polarized
Posts: 2,797
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http://www.b2bheaven.com/phpBB2/index.php
Start there
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swiggidy
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Waiting in the shadows ...
Posts: 3,777
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Triptan3s
http://www.b2bheaven.com/phpBB2/index.php
Start there
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He's talking casino/blackjack.
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(\__/)
(='.'=)
(")_(")
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lolzzz_321
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NO YOU
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: My ice is polarized
Posts: 2,797
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It is.
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I Like Pie
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Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Toronto, Canada
Posts: 399
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http://www.beatingbonuses.com/bestbonus.htm
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pokerroomace
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 783
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by I Like Pie
http://www.beatingbonuses.com/bestbonus.htm
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legend. thanks a lot
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by swiggidy
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Triptan3s
http://www.b2bheaven.com/phpBB2/index.php
Start there
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He's talking casino/blackjack.
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dude, you need to sign up.
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swiggidy
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Waiting in the shadows ...
Posts: 3,777
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I'm in the U.S. Bad?
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(\__/)
(='.'=)
(")_(")
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lolzzz_321
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NO YOU
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: My ice is polarized
Posts: 2,797
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by swiggidy
I'm in the U.S. Bad?
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Very.
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Rabid Dog
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 574
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Miffed22001
Quote:
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Originally Posted by swiggidy
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Triptan3s
http://www.b2bheaven.com/phpBB2/index.php
Start there
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He's talking casino/blackjack.
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dude, you need to sign up.
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Exactly, or you will not see the casino section. Only members see it.
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by swiggidy
I'm in the U.S. Bad?
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This is the only time i can write
Brit > U.S
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pokerroomace
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 783
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Miffed22001
Quote:
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Originally Posted by swiggidy
I'm in the U.S. Bad?
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This is the only time i can write
Brit > U.S 
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you can always right brit>us.
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