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Grand_MasterB
Old 02-11-2006, 03:13 PM     Post subject: Saturday hoops #1 (permalink)  
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OK boys lets get it rolling..games start in an hour

here are my looks so far
Duke -6
Ten -4
SH +8
GW -2.5
MSU -3.5


what you boys on?
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blade
Old 02-11-2006, 03:30 PM #2 (permalink)  

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GMB, what do u think about Stanford at +7.5? already made my play but was curious on your take?
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metaxy6
Old 02-11-2006, 04:11 PM #3 (permalink)  
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So far I'm on:
MSU -4 2u
Tenn -4 2u
BGreen +10 2u
Stanford +8 (bought 1/2) 1u

Looks like the lines might have moved since I put in last night - could have done better w/MSU.

Looking for a couple values to add on. Maybe that GW game.
Need more looking on Alabama, Auburn +15, and Iona if the line's down from 6...

edit:
Need some extra eyes on this card today fellas!! what are the looks?
Don't even need a strong opinion, just give me something to look at!

I would love to throw down on Fla International today because they've been playing some teams tough recently and Ark St could have as many as 4 key players out. The betting against injured teams hasn't worked real well to this point - but Fla Int has the depth to make it work today...
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kling
Old 02-11-2006, 05:03 PM #4 (permalink)  
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So far I'm on:

LSU +6.5 1u
Oregon St. +15 1.5u
Charlotte +5.5 2u
Villanova -9 1u

Duke game was too close for comfort, so I decided to lay off of it.

LSU & Florida are both pretty good cover teams, but I think LSU has the advantage. They are 5-2 ATS on the road, and 4-0 ATS as a road dog.

Oregon St. is 9-4 (2-0 this year) ATS on the road when they get 12 pts. or more over the last 5 years. They are not a great road cover team, only coming in at 4-5 ATS, but Arizona is a worse home cover team. 2-8 ATS at home, 2-10 ATS after a conference game, and 2-7 ATS on Saturdays.

Charlotte is 7-2 ATS on the road. Wake Forest is 1-11 ATS at home.

I have a feeling on the 'Nova game. Nova, 4-2 ATS on Saturdays, should cover -9. Newcommer DePaul (4-6 ATS at home), who is 6-10 ATS v. Big East opponets (includes this year and the previous years when they were in CUSA), will be undermatched. 'Nova shoots the lights out and wins by 17.

As for the GW game, I don't bet on St. Joe's games, however I think we're going to get run over by GW. They're so quick.. it'll be a lot like the 'Nova game.

I'm lookin' for one more day game before the night games... maybe Kentucky?
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Grand_MasterB
Old 02-11-2006, 05:12 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I dont know what to think about that stanford play.. i like it because they really need this game. But that place will be rockin with college gameday there. but i would lean towards stanford.

so far ive taken
GW -4 for 1.5 units
Ten -4 for 1.5 units
Seton Hall +8 1 unit
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Grand_MasterB
Old 02-11-2006, 05:17 PM #6 (permalink)  
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what do you guys think about Kentucky? i think they are a team that really needs a win and Vandy is hurtin right now on a loosing streak.

what about ucla? they are hot but im not sure about this game on the road but im leaning towards UCLA in this one.
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kling
Old 02-11-2006, 05:26 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grand_MasterB
what do you guys think about Kentucky? i think they are a team that really needs a win and Vandy is hurtin right now on a loosing streak.
I was just about to ask the same thing. I just spent the last 15 mins. looking at that game. The only thing that I found that I didn't like is Kentucky is 0-3 ATS when they were a dog this year. Other than that, Kentucky is a decent road cover team (4-2 ATS) and Vandy is below average home cover squad (4-6 ATS)... I'm not sure, definitely a possibility, though.
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metaxy6
Old 02-11-2006, 05:53 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I'd like Kentucky but that's just me talking cause not going to hit it.
They need the game so bad.
UCLA did look good but Washington is another talented team that needs a game. UCLA 2-0 in revenging home loss. Don't like that they played pretty damn well in the 65-69 L, shooting 51% fg and 43.5% from 3... true they had 19 TO's - but actually don't expect them to clean that up too much and not sure how much better they can play?

I'm going to wish I rode GW w/ you guys for sure.
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metaxy6
Old 02-11-2006, 09:01 PM #9 (permalink)  
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aarrgh. frustrating day so far.
a bunch of picks at the top of the card that i just couldn't get on for one reason or another coast to covers while the blue-chipper msu blows it.

anyways, looks like it's going around. hope you got on the duke game after all, b.

let's see tennessee take over the second half. and let's see charlotte shoot some lights out...
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Eric
Old 02-11-2006, 09:11 PM #10 (permalink)  
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 I'm watching the UCLA-Washington game now. UCLA has done well this year considering all their injuries but Washington is in the top 25 and they are playing at home.

Right now the score is UCLA 40 - Washington 42 early in the 2nd half.
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blade
Old 02-11-2006, 09:26 PM #11 (permalink)  

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ok, thanx for the input. shit, i hope that was a good bet.
i have GW -3.5 (lost),
Tenn -3.5
Stanford +7.5
USC +7
not sure on anything else right now. heard that OK ST +4 may be a decent bet but haven't pulled the trigger on this.
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Eric
Old 02-11-2006, 10:06 PM #12 (permalink)  
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 Crap, Washington beat UCLA by 3. I didn't have action on it but I'm a UCLA alum and it sucks to see their 5 game winning streak end.
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kling
Old 02-12-2006, 12:37 AM #13 (permalink)  
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Night games:

Long Beach St. -5 1u
Cal Poly +13 1.5u
Stanford +7.5 1u
New Mexico St. +14.5 1u
Samford -1.5 1.5u

Day games:
2-3 -.5u
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metaxy6
Old 02-12-2006, 03:14 PM #14 (permalink)  
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3-1 yesterday, +3 u.
NCAA ytd 69-55-4, +8u.

Looking for a good 2-3 plays for today and a nice roll into the week!
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kling
Old 02-12-2006, 04:59 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by metaxy6
3-1 yesterday, +3 u.
NCAA ytd 69-55-4, +8u.

Looking for a good 2-3 plays for today and a nice roll into the week!
Nice going, Met.
5-5 yesterday0u, 42-29-1 YTD
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