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metaxy6

01-31-2006, 04:56 PM Post subject: NCAA Tuesday

#1 (permalink)

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Join Date: May 2005

Posts: 328

Alright fellas, what's looking good?
Not much of a card tonight, but surely we can find 1-2 winners and keep it rolling...

The only action I like as of now is
WKentucky -6

This is not a gimme by any means, but since their loss to Troy, WKU has been shooting +50%. Looking for them to score around 70 pts here and get the cover on sheer volume.

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Grand_MasterB

01-31-2006, 05:11 PM

#2 (permalink)

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Location: Cincinnati

Posts: 466

OK guys whats with the two different topics in the forum.. i mean cmon there are 4 maybe 5 of us in here regularly.. cant we all share one thread!? haha anyways...

Piece of crap card tonight in my opionino.. waiting to see the line on the texas game tomorrow..should be a good one.

tonight just one play

G'town -5: 1 unit

Just betting the hot team against the cold team.

NCAA BB YTD
32-23
+13.5 units ( my prediction was to be 15 by sat)

Met: ive heard rumblings about some W kent players who might be hurting tonight.. ill let you know if i hear anything else but you might want to scout around and see if you can find out anything.. if they are all healthy i like this play.

Grand_MasterB

01-31-2006, 05:14 PM

#3 (permalink)

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Hold up..something is going on with the Gtown game as my book took it down 10 minutes ago and its not back up yet... hold off on the betting for now guys

metaxy6

01-31-2006, 05:17 PM

#4 (permalink)

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this ncaa stuff is too good for one thread!!

damn, i already laid down on wk for 1.5 u. didn't want to get stuck at 7.5 or something which is where i saw it ending up.

i may go gtown, i just can't stand the way depaul gets bs covers.

Grand_MasterB

01-31-2006, 05:53 PM

#5 (permalink)

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G'town game seems to be back up still at -5.5... not sure what was going on but i saw it taken down at two sites i looked at. im buyin the half and laying one unit at -5... thats all for tonight boys

Good luck on West. Kentucky metaxy... i still havent heard anything for sure about injuries so i think you are ok.

metaxy6

01-31-2006, 06:30 PM

#6 (permalink)

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Thanks B. Lee (F) is Q for WKU. 2nd leading scorer and leading rebounder. FI is pretty strong at F, too.
Just got to sweat it out.

Added GTown for 1u -5.5 (couldn't buy the .5)
Two games where over 75% of action is on the fav.

kling

01-31-2006, 08:18 PM

#7 (permalink)

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Join Date: Jul 2004

Location: Philly, PA

Posts: 203

Back in action after a 2 day break, and I'm takin' all dogs. Here's what I like so far: [22-11-1 YTD]

Georgia Tech +4.5
Depaul +5.5
Northern Iowa +2.5

Georgia Tech +4.5
Virginia Tech is an awful cover team at home this year (2-6 ATS) after going 10-4 ATS last year. Over the last 5 years, GT is 6-3 ATS on Tuesday nights, and even though Tech is not particulary a good cover team this year (6-8 ATS), they are 3-2 ATS on the road this year. Va Tech's leading scorer and rebounder, Coleman Collins, has left the team for personal reasons and will not play tonight.

Depaul +5.5
I have a feeling that Depaul is going to win this game. As a home dog this year, Depaul is 3-0 and they not only just covered, but won every game outright. Depaul has not played since Janurary 25th, and over the past 5 years, Depaul is 8-5 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Both teams are pretty even when it comes to records ATS, and I really believe G-Town is due for a slip up.

Northern Iowa +2.5
This was a tough game to cap (NIU boasts a 6-3 away record ATS while Creighton is 6-3 ATS at home, and last year, Creighton was 10-5 ATS v. a team with a winning record while Norther Iowa was 19-9 v. a team with a winning record over the last 5 years), but there's more in favor of Northern Iowa, in my opinion. Northern Iowa was 6-3 ATS on Tuesday nights, and over the past 5 years, Creighton was 16-27 ATS off a win against a conference rival and 4-6 ATS after scoring less than 60 points (Creighton beat Wichita St. 57-55 on 1/28) . I'm lookin' for NIU to remain in the top 25.
-----------
I didn't like enough of the WKU/FLA Int. game to pick either team. Good luck on that game, guys... here's to hoping it covers.

aka wildwest15
They all know me as a small timer, but that's about to change.

metaxy6

01-31-2006, 09:31 PM

#8 (permalink)

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Hey Kling. GL tonight.

If I hadn't just caught myself trying to push edges that were too thin, I'd be on that GT game with ya.
Collins out is kinda bad for VT, but they did beat Wake when he was out. Their reserve swingman Vassallo had a monster game. Not sure what it really shows though, since Wake's top G and leading scorer Gray was out.
I do think that GT's frontcourt finally has a chance to do something here.

Biggest concerns are GT's turnovers and the lack of firepower, beyond Morrow, on the perimeter.

Since I'm on GTown, rooting for you to go 2-1!!
(Of course, so is Hungry - who's on VT...)

metaxy6

02-01-2006, 02:57 AM

#9 (permalink)

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Nice call on GT cover Kling.
Hungry got the split.
B - on the march to +20 u!

GTown smoked, which is nice. The more I looked, the more I liked them here, but the funny business with the game being taken down slowed my roll, then just didn't want to mess with the spread getting wide. Better safe...

On the night:
- .5 u

Just a thought about using parlays. There were some looks tonight that were just to hard to move on - the spread had me frozen. With no big values, tonight would have been a good night to work a 4-5 team parlay around some ML favorites to make your own value. Like, take ML on UConn, Florida, GTown, (and Cinci if you dare!) and throw in 1 or 2 decent pointspread picks like Nebraska or Georgia Tech. It's a decent shot at getting something like 7:2 or better.

One way to use parlays w/o making them a lotto ticket.

Hmm, not recommending this since Wed's card isn't like that, but something like Texas, Oklahoma, NC St, AirForce ML and a solid pointspread pick would likely yield something like 4:1.

Grand_MasterB

02-01-2006, 11:46 AM

#10 (permalink)

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Location: Cincinnati

Posts: 466

Damn.... i really thought you guys were going to get that Western Kentcuky bet... was looking so good.

I have a feeling im going to like alot of games tonight...

33-23
+14.5 on the year

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