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metaxy6
Old 01-20-2006, 12:59 PM     Post subject: ncaa #1 (permalink)  
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looks like the ncaa bettors had the same kind of night as ftr -
1st half = fine.
2nd half = oh shit.
first 0-4.
- 5 u.
sorry, fellas. all those road dogs spelled trouble.
at least uwm came through for ya, b.
hope ya got ur afa pick in, friz.

looking for a bounce back on saturday and next week.
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Grand_MasterB
Old 01-20-2006, 03:22 PM #2 (permalink)  
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yeah last night was brutal.... Loyala was up 7 at half.. getting 11 points... they were even covering till just a few minutes left and end up loosing by 20... then the xavier game.. in the last two minutes xavier missed about 4 ft's and let UC hit a miracle three to send it to over time.. should have won both of those and went positive on the day.. oh well.

UNC -1.5 units
wisc GB +1 unit
xavier -4 -1 unit

-1.5 on the day

MY NCAA BB PICKS YTD
13-7
+10.5 units

Is anyone else not seeing all the posts today? Whats up with the forum.. beisdes todays posts the last ones i can see are from the 13th?
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Frizzle02
Old 01-20-2006, 07:53 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grand_MasterB
Is anyone else not seeing all the posts today? Whats up with the forum.. beisdes todays posts the last ones i can see are from the 13th?
I cant see those posts either. Yeah...i was killed last night -5 units YTD
<------That was my chemistry prof.
 
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metaxy6
Old 01-20-2006, 09:47 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Lessons from last night??

UNC: as soon as I clicked 'confirm,' I regretted it. They gave hope in the first half, which only made it sting...maybe the lesson is be careful picking small edge road teams in the majors against fundamentally solid teams (esp good d. and ft's).

Denver U: don't fall for the road dog in the mid's, even if the conference is just shaking out, also (what amounts to same thing) watch out for a home team that is desperate for a w.

Loyola Md: this would be a road dog lesson, since the home team had such a strong 2nd half surge...but mainly it's just a good pick that didn't work out. Only thing is that 3/4 of the $ was on Loyola, the line barely budged all day until 1o mins. before game time, when it got adjusted for all the wise guy $ getting dumped on Iona. Not a good sign. I saw the pick early and wanted to get on it before the line shifted - maybe it's a good idea to see what's happening before laying down $ in a conference you don't know too well.

So after a week of semi-serious NCAA betting (genuinely trying to make good picks, rather than just going by 'feel' or just taking someone's pick and running w/ it), I feel okay. I'm down barely .5 unit. I have a good grasp on the resources and have confidence.
I plan to focus on 2 conferences - the Big Sky and the MAC - get totally into their teams and trends, read the reports, game logs, and fan blogs. I'll keep a notebook of all the results - even the games I don't bet - and get a good sense of what's going on - then just get on the value when I see it.
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Grand_MasterB
Old 01-21-2006, 03:30 PM #5 (permalink)  
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this ncaa bb betting is a hard thing to do.. it does take alot of time because there are so many teams and so many games everyday. At about even for your first week is excellent... check my plays for today and lets get a winning week going baby!!
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