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metaxy6
Old 02-06-2006, 03:39 PM     Post subject: Monday NCAA #1 (permalink)  
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Not much of a card today, but maybe some value will show as the lines
move. Chance at least to rack a couple Us and build momentum for the week. Anything look good?

Anyone want to try to talk me out of Louisville +3.5 otr against a Cincinatti team that has 1 quality win (v Rutgers) since Kirkland went down?

The only other game I like so far is Charleston at Elon.
Wouldn't mind Fresno St -8, but their top guard Coleman is a gametime decision.
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Grand_MasterB
Old 02-06-2006, 06:25 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Yeah i dont know what to think of that UL / UC game... Louisville is just so unpredictable. If i had to bet i would take Louisville but I think ill just watch it on tv.

Only game i am on today is College of Charleston -1 for 1.5 units

NCAA YTD
40-29-2
+14.5 units

well i got to my goal of being up 15 units by saturday.. but then i had a losing day. My goal for this week is to be up 18 units by saturday morning. And to not get so drunk on Friday night that i miss all the good lines on Saturday morning!
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metaxy6
Old 02-06-2006, 08:01 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Damn - the Charleston and Louisville lines are moving away from me.
Delaware is at least going the right way, and looks ok at -6.

This card is a tricky one for me, since a lot of teams either have injuries or questionables, and I've found it hard to get a bead on those types of games. It's obviously not going to get any easier as the season wears on, but usually there's more variety and a chance to pick over the gimps.

Liking some totals tonight, but they're a little hard to get.
If it shows up, I'll take Wofford/Chatt under 134.5. Got some more looking to do on the others...just trying to work on this and find some action on a night when the card is slim.

Meanwhile, I'm 3-5 in the racebook !!
Any action junkies get on #7 in race 2 at Turf Paradise and #6 in race 5 at Mountaineer...
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Grand_MasterB
Old 02-06-2006, 08:05 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by metaxy6
Meanwhile, I'm 3-5 in the racebook !!
Any action junkies get on #7 in race 2 at Turf Paradise and #6 in race 5 at Mountaineer...
Haha Metaxy you crazy!!
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Aces
Old 02-06-2006, 08:25 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I'd stay away from the UofL-Cincy game. I wouldn't be surprised to see either team win. UofL has been very inconsistant, played a weak non-conference schedule, and played poorly on the road. Cincy is a tough road game even though they are down this year. UofL gets starter Terrence Williams back from academic suspension(he sat out the Notre Dame game).

I'm a big UofL fan and have actually made some money betting against them this year. I would be very careful about picking UofL in this particular game even though they blew Cincy out at home a few weeks ago. If I had to pick I would probably take UofL +3, but I don't think the edge is great enough so I'm laying off it.
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metaxy6
Old 02-06-2006, 09:23 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Ya Aces - I came to pretty much the same conclusion. As much as Kirkland's absence has really hurt Cinci, and as much as coaching is a clear edge for LVille, and as strong a trend as 5-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons is...
this is still a decent, experienced team w/ some size at home in conference play in a spot where they have to fight.
But - - White allegedly has a bad ankle, Downey looks to have hit the wall
(which would tip the backcourt match in LVille's favor), and Padgett should have a big game.
It's actualy tempting, but LVille just isn't shooting well enough to really make it worth it, imo.

That puts me on:
Texas -10.5 2 u
Charleston -1.5 1 u

<<edit>> added
Delaware -6.5 1.5 u
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metaxy6
Old 02-07-2006, 02:12 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Hey, good call on Cinc boys. Didn't start so hot....need Texas to play big 2nd half and added
SanDiego -7.5 1 u
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kling
Old 02-07-2006, 02:53 AM #8 (permalink)  
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I took a pretty big hit on Saturday, so I took the past two nights off. Back in action on Tuesday, see you guys then!
aka wildwest15
They all know me as a small timer, but that's about to change.
 
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metaxy6
Old 02-07-2006, 03:52 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Well, San Diego is getting crushed. Since Texas came through, didn't need the late game - they have saved some nights, and it's about time they caught up w/ me.
1-3 on the night,
-1.5 u.

But, Alcres George and Valid Dancer cashed - ship it baby!

Looking forward to getting rolling w/ a better card tomorrow -
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Grand_MasterB
Old 02-07-2006, 01:36 PM #10 (permalink)  
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yeah what a crappy start to the week. nice hit on texas though met.

takes me down to
40-30-2
+13 units on the year
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