|
DaNutsInYoEye
|
04-01-2005, 04:31 AM
Post subject: Gambler's Fallacy
|
#1 (permalink)
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 1,921
|
|
I see so many references to this on the forums it's almost comical. Each hand is an independent event people.
http://www.fallacyfiles.org/gamblers.html
|
|
TheXianti: (Triptanes) why are you not a thinking person?
|
Play for FREE and practice your game at...
Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!
|
|
Legendash
|
|
Full House
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Crypto 6max 100NL
Posts: 611
|
|
Absoulutely, i always chuckle when people sit down at a table and say something like "does this site deal a lot of flushes" and 3 people will chime in with tales of woe and stacked decks, i just look at them and see $
|
|
"[This theory] is only useful for helping to calculate your luck odds. If you have a good read that you have a numerical advantage against your opponent, that your hand is "luckier"..."
Copyright, Youngdro 2007.
|
|
Bmxicle
|
|
Full House
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Vancouver
Posts: 947
|
|
I've been hearing a new theory lately, its the lucky seat theory. Some seats give better cards then others. This guy was telling me how they did a test. He said that he won a buyin from one seat, got up came back and lost it all plus a little more in a different seat, and the guy in his old seat had also won a buyin. I would have encouraged him to believe this but i was too busy adding him to my buddy list.
|
|
|
|
gutshot
|
|
Full House
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: lemonade was a popular drink and it still is
Posts: 608
|
|
I can usually tell in the first orbit if the action generator has been tweaked favorably for that session.
|
|
-jay
"i think the biggest leak in my game is using 2nd level thinking against players who can't think on the first level." -Renton
|
|
DavSimon
|
|
Full House
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Mount Holly, NC
Posts: 813
|
|
I almost choked on a jellybean (literally) when I heard this one:
Fish1: If Pokerstars has less than 10K people logged in then be careful when dealt K-K
Fish2: Why is that?
Fish1: Well they are not making as much rake and every time someone is dealt K-K another person is dealt A-A to generate action.
Fish2: Wow thanks for the tip!
DavSimon: Oh yes, that is absolutely true, however we are playing a SnG and the rake is fixed.....
|
|
|
|
thestrokes
|
|
Straight
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: chicago
Posts: 119
|
|
i like the conflicting avatars fromt he posts above...
|
|
"Confidence not overconfidence"
-radashack
|
|
Toasty
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: England UK
Posts: 1,522
|
|
yeah that annoys the hell out of me "welcome to river stars"
"hehe i love party poker"
|
|
Poker is all about the long long long long long long long term . . .
Barney's back . . . back again . . .
|
|
|
|
|
|
Some of my favourites (used often)
"Ahh, RiverStars got me again"
"**** you, Lee Jones!"
"That's a PartyPoker special"
"XXXing joke you XXXXing XXXXty little XXXXXX, what a XXXXer"
And one that isn't so well known but since I play there I see it a lot:
"Only at Bugsy"
|
|
|
|
Aceofone
|
|
Flush
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 497
|
|
Bringing the thread back to the original topic....
If you flip a coin and get heads 7 times in a row, what are the odds the next toss will be heads? 50%.
But what are the odds of flipping a coin 8 times and getting heads each time?
1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/256
|
|
|
English
Deutsch
Español
Français
Italiano
Nederlands
Pусский
Svenska
05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
Linear Mode
