I hate the word "cuck," because so many people who use it are cucked for Donald (even cucked for Ivanka). But good goddamn, hell freezes over the day more people aren't cucked for Hillary.
07-29-2016 01:03 AM
#1651
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I hate the word "cuck," because so many people who use it are cucked for Donald (even cucked for Ivanka). But good goddamn, hell freezes over the day more people aren't cucked for Hillary. |
Last edited by wufwugy; 07-29-2016 at 03:07 AM. | |
07-30-2016 04:09 AM
#1652
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http://i.imgur.com/EdxY3p9.gifv | |
Last edited by a500lbgorilla; 07-30-2016 at 04:11 AM. | |
07-30-2016 04:33 AM
#1653
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what would happen if a guy changed his name to " none of the above" and stood as an independent , whats his chances of winning the election ? |
07-30-2016 04:56 AM
#1654
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Even if no one voted, Hilary would still win by 3 million votes. | |
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08-04-2016 09:01 PM
#1655
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08-04-2016 09:02 PM
#1656
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The party of Sarah Palin, the party of Donald Trump - when will it finally fold? | |
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08-10-2016 04:00 AM
#1657
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where my trumpkins at | |
08-10-2016 12:46 PM
#1658
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did something happen? |
08-12-2016 07:41 PM
#1659
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08-12-2016 08:32 PM
#1660
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If this was a sporting even, I'd say this is a fixed game for sure. Nobody drops the ball this hard that many times. | |
Last edited by oskar; 08-12-2016 at 08:37 PM.
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08-12-2016 08:38 PM
#1661
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08-12-2016 08:41 PM
#1662
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The Producers irl. | |
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08-12-2016 08:48 PM
#1663
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How Trump won over Cruz and Rubio is still completely incomprehensible to me. | |
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08-13-2016 09:29 AM
#1664
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08-13-2016 12:50 PM
#1665
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I think she'll get over 200 EVs. She'll lose FL OH PA NH NV IA VA CO and maybe MI. |
08-13-2016 12:57 PM
#1666
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Gotta put your werewolf hat on. The pollsters finding Trump near losing in his strongest states doesn't show Trump weak but shows the pollsters fucking up on the job. Let's go with the least ridiculous explanation. |
08-13-2016 01:00 PM
#1667
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Things like his top notch speech will only be given credit after 2038 or something. |
08-13-2016 01:21 PM
#1668
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Last edited by oskar; 08-13-2016 at 01:31 PM.
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08-13-2016 01:38 PM
#1669
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The pls no Trump votes seem greatly exaggerated to me. There may even be a greater number of pls no Hillary votes. |
08-13-2016 01:39 PM
#1670
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Lots of virtue signalling. People aren't "allowed" to not bitch about Trump. But that goes away in the private voting booth. I suspect that more people will vote for him than otherwise because they're "not supposed to." |
08-15-2016 07:16 PM
#1671
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I'm predicting 20% probability of Trump winning close to 356 EVs. I say "close" because the exact number includes winning New Mexico, Maine, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, which are very aggressive predictions. Along with this is that he wins >20% of the black vote and >50% of the Hispanic vote -- and that men make up >50% of the electorate. |
Last edited by wufwugy; 08-15-2016 at 07:19 PM. | |
08-16-2016 09:16 PM
#1672
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I'm starting to think your the expert troll, not spoon. | |
08-19-2016 10:10 PM
#1673
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My prediction is conservative. Trump is gonna blow past 15% of the black vote. Accelerating. |
08-20-2016 10:25 PM
#1674
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yeah what have they got to lose | |
08-20-2016 10:29 PM
#1675
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True. Since it is that the Democrats installed the urban plantations, what have urbans got to lose by not voting Democrat? |
08-20-2016 10:41 PM
#1676
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Calling it the urban plantation isn't fair. Slavery didn't kill the black family. The legacy of slavery didn't kill black culture. Democrats did, with propaganda. They turned a robust, thriving economy of black Americans from the post-war period into a gangland shoot-out that pauses only so it can burn down black-owned shops when a black cop kills a black criminal engaging in fatal violence into a race war that would make Lenin think he should have tried that tactic instead of class war. And what supposedly causes this? White racism. There's no other cause. Let's go vandalize a house with a Trump sign in the lawn just to prove how much all our problems are caused by white racism. |
08-20-2016 11:34 PM
#1677
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You wanna know why Trump will crush? I typed up a post on the lunacy and wrongness of the accusations of racism that our society has been putting up with for decades, yet I deleted it because I'm still too afraid of being accused of being racist. There are a huge number of people like me, and all of us are voting for Trump. We're tired of being sold a bill of goods that speaking sense makes us racist bigots, and we're tired of being told that black criminals engaging in fatal violence is legacy of slavery and that if we don't clasp our ankles we're a part of the problem. Black Lives Matter is sending Trump to a landslide victory. Feminism too, for that matter. Women are waking up and realizing that unlike the feminists tell them, they're not happy pretending to be men. |
08-21-2016 12:45 AM
#1678
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08-21-2016 12:54 AM
#1679
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The guy I voted for in the primaries holds the same values on this. Trump was better at getting people galvanized on the issue and won in a large way because of it. |
08-25-2016 09:20 PM
#1680
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I love how this election has turned into the battle between the top talent of persuasion in academics (Robert Cialdini) vs the top talent of persuasion in practice (Trump). The practitioner is crushing, as should be expected. |
08-26-2016 07:52 AM
#1681
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What I like best about reading your posts about Trump is how you don't realise the vast amount of survivor bias in play. |
08-26-2016 12:34 PM
#1682
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LOL@NPR trying to make this election a rebuke of the alt-right (aka 4chan). They had an interview with some internet psychologist who believed that if women had designed the internet, we wouldn't be having these problems because "women are naturally more protective" or some noise along those lines. | |
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08-26-2016 01:59 PM
#1683
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08-26-2016 02:55 PM
#1684
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Lots of the things you are accrediting to Trump like he's some sort of genius puppet master are complete rubbish. When you look at things that have a probability of working rather than are a certainty (almost everything) it's very easy to look at what works and then reverse engineer a reason as to why it worked as if it's a given when that's just not true. |
Last edited by Savy; 08-26-2016 at 03:00 PM. | |
08-26-2016 03:11 PM
#1685
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A better more relevant analogy is the poker boom. |
08-26-2016 03:46 PM
#1686
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I don't disagree that I have confirmation bias. Everybody has it, and maybe it is partially mitigable at best. |
08-26-2016 03:59 PM
#1687
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so what happens if in the debates trump asks Billary if shes going to follow her husbands example of how to behave as a president and have sexual relations with a woman in the oval office? |
08-26-2016 04:12 PM
#1688
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I'm a novice of the psychology of persuasion at best, so I don't know. But if I'm guessing based on what I've learned, here it is: |
08-26-2016 04:18 PM
#1689
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08-26-2016 04:21 PM
#1690
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I'm not talking about confirmation bias. |
08-26-2016 04:30 PM
#1691
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I'm admitting to having confirmation bias. I'm not seeing the survivorship bias. That appears to be cognitive dissonance that ignores failures. I don't think I'm doing that. Granted I probably only post about his successes (a small fraction of them). |
08-26-2016 05:27 PM
#1692
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08-26-2016 08:10 PM
#1693
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wuf, you say trump will win in a landslide. how do you explain the current polls and gambling websites giving Hilary a 4:1 favorite? | |
08-26-2016 08:41 PM
#1694
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Gambling sites: they've been wrong this whole cycle (at least on the GOP side). They also would have been wrong on the Dem side if the DNC hadn't literally cheated, but whatever. Also, AFAIK betting odds are set to generate action, to reflect how bettors want to act, not necessarily the *real* odds. |
08-26-2016 08:46 PM
#1695
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More or less, I don't think the polls will ever show a landslide coming. But I think on election day, the enthusiasm will be for Trump and not for Clinton. In addition to enthusiasm, I think the doubts people have about Clinton will be too high and that the doubts for Trump will have been mostly assuaged. Together this will mean millions of people making that marginal decision to show up for Trump and millions of people making that marginal decision to not show up for Clinton. |
08-26-2016 10:15 PM
#1696
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Without spending too much time on it, I'll point out one very compelling element within the polls. African American support is indicating a landslide for Trump even in polls that show Clinton with the lead. One of the latest polls has Clinton/Trump at 73%/14% of African Americans. 73% is disaster for Democrats. They would lose all sorts of blue states, like Pennsylvania and probably Michigan, with such low African American proportions. |
08-27-2016 01:28 AM
#1697
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Thanks for the response. | |
08-27-2016 01:30 AM
#1698
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As a Canadian, I've been following the race everyday since last June. I find it immensely more fascinating than our politics. | |
08-27-2016 06:52 AM
#1699
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What fascinates me about American politics is the fact that the public has such a broad view of what makes a candidate qualified for office. Reagan, Schwartzenegger, Ventura, and now Trump all come to mind as people who started their political careers by running for a significant office (governor or president) with little or no experience in politics/government at all. This does not happen in other English-speaking countries or the West in general afaik. | |
Last edited by Poopadoop; 08-27-2016 at 06:57 AM. | |
08-27-2016 08:39 AM
#1700
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08-27-2016 08:39 AM
#1701
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08-27-2016 08:40 AM
#1702
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08-27-2016 09:02 AM
#1703
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08-27-2016 09:41 AM
#1704
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But it should take someone with some experience in office, no? | |
08-27-2016 09:44 AM
#1705
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I can tell you this: If Rupert Murdoch (or whoever the UK equivalent of Trump is) should run for office he would not get a significant amount of support for the reasons I mentioned. | |
08-27-2016 09:56 AM
#1706
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08-27-2016 09:57 AM
#1707
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What about the Philippine version of Trump? Guy literally campaigns on "I will murder all of the problems", is elected, and then does just that. | |
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08-27-2016 10:04 AM
#1708
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08-27-2016 10:06 AM
#1709
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08-27-2016 10:09 AM
#1710
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08-27-2016 10:09 AM
#1711
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According to Wiki, his former jobs were community organizer (whatever that is), lawyer, and lecturer. So yeah he wasn't experienced in office but at least he presumably had some understanding of how laws were made. Isn't that one of the president's main jobs. | |
08-27-2016 10:14 AM
#1712
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You don't think your political system is any more advanced than that of the Phillippines? Interesting. | |
08-27-2016 10:15 AM
#1713
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08-27-2016 10:18 AM
#1714
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08-27-2016 10:21 AM
#1715
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08-27-2016 10:23 AM
#1716
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08-27-2016 10:27 AM
#1717
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It's actually one of the reasons he will excel in the job. Bush was/is an idiot with poor public speaking skills, Boris is a shrewd well surrounded politician who plays up to the bumbling idiot toff stereotype which curries him huge favour with the masses & does a job of hiding his very right wing views. |
08-27-2016 10:30 AM
#1718
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08-27-2016 10:53 AM
#1719
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08-27-2016 10:59 AM
#1720
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08-27-2016 11:08 AM
#1721
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08-27-2016 11:14 AM
#1722
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Why do you say that? Many presidents have been previously vice president, secretary of state, or governor. Without being president, these are each pretty close. | |
08-27-2016 11:23 AM
#1723
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virtually all have resigned cos they realize that with corbyn in charge at the next election they will all be having to look for a proper job. This weeks train fiasco has helped weaken his position even further and casts a shadow over his integrity ,judgement and honesty . Not a great position if you want to be PM . http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37173048 |
08-27-2016 11:25 AM
#1724
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None of the examples I cited had experience, and likely would not have been elected in the UK at least. That's what I'm getting at. We don't have any wrestler or actor MPs, for example. All of Reagan, Ventura and Schwartzenegger were elected governor with no experience in public office at all. | |
Last edited by Poopadoop; 08-27-2016 at 11:31 AM. | |
08-27-2016 11:28 AM
#1725
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