time to start winning

Solid graph man, and solid upswing there when you took shots. Looking forward to working with you.

monthly graph. still not winning at 50nl 6m. i'm pretty confident that i am +EV at these tables but my results aren't reflecting that. carroters and i have done a few leakfinder videos and identified where i'm fucking up and where i could be fucking up less, so hopefully with an increased winrate i can turn the tide and keep on trucking up to higher stakes in 6m, which is still somewhat of a new game to me. most of this profit is at 100-200nl FR.

did a quick study of my database today and i find this kind of interesting

first ~4 months hands of the year:




second ~4 months of the year:



actually intended to erase all the figures relating to winning/losing except non-showdown there but i fucked up and those took too long as is to re-edit and re-upload. so it will stay.

i'm not really sure how much of the redline direction change can be chalked up to variance. i certainly feel like i am identifying spots to take aggressive lines and leverage FE which i formerly missed out on. that might just be results-oriented, however, because the data says i am winning more $ without showdown. also, i switched to 6m probably no more than a month after the beginning of graph #2

very impressive rpm, keep up the great work!

how's the coaching with carroters coming along?

thanks man. coaching is going really well thus far.

i recently decided to customise my HUD popup because i felt like there was some information missing from the default settings which could be pretty beneficial. i decided to turn the "preflop" tab into two tabs - one with general preflop stats, and another with blind play-specific stats. i thought i'd post pictures of the new tabs here in case it's of any interest to anyone.






edit: probably a stupid question, but, can anyone tell me what difference there is between "4betting" and "raising a 3bet"?

it's pretty easy to customise your popups if you want to. it's pretty tedious due to all the coding and stuff. but not difficult. i managed to do it (though it probably took me longer than it would most people)

so i just typed out some long post relating to goals and then my cat walked over the keyboard and pressed some key to take me back to blogs forum. in short, i read this: Setting a Goal :Suited Aces and so made a list of poker goals based on my leakfinder sessions with carroters and my own feelings of where i am probably skill/knowledge deficient, or just generally missing out on some EV i could be harvesting. in brief, it includes:
- sharpen intuitive sense of SPR and knowledge of how to manipulate it in my favour + plan my line/sizing around it
- improve preflop skills as regard the 3/4/5game vs regs who are so inclined (almost all of them)
- learn to form more accurate 4b/call ranges vs above regs (never really had to do much of this)
- sharpen thin value-betting skills via better understanding of the interplay between range elasticity/sizing.
- improve mental pot equity calculations (both hand vs range and range vs range)
- thin preflop value vs fish + learning to utilise thin, undersized value 3bs vs weaker players who will continue >90% of the time (aka "min-thin 3-bets", ty carroters)
- all-in semi-bluff required FE calculations. spoon taught me a formula in our coaching sessions last year to do this. i've not really used it at all since. probably useful.
- become more anticipative (is that a word?) in my play, be able to predict roughly what % of the time villain will call/fold/raise when i bet, and bet/check when i check. not just on the current street of the hand either. i want to get a feel for how villains will likely play their ranges over multiple streets on different runouts

now that i've posted them here i'm hoping there's a greater chance of me pursuing them. under each goal i made a list of potential means to help me achieve them which is too boring to post here. but helpful for me nonetheless. i now have no excuse to be "bored" or to sit around doing nothing.

Superb goals man, keep up the hard work!

in very important poker news, i recently bought an AUS$400 ticket to see roger waters perform "the wall" with the pink floyd era wall stage show in melbourne in february. ship.

return to poker ETA ~24hrs. post-exam booze might influence that a little but GODDAMN IT'S CLOSE

edit: and i'm a sucker for harmonicas. Spectrum. I"ll Be Gone - YouTube

if anybody reads this "blog" and hasn't before encountered these two articles, i recommend reading them.

Implied Betting :Suited Aces
Pokersback

i'm currently reading "easy game" volume 3 by baluga whale. it's cool because he seems to be as disinclined towards maths as i am.

Originally Posted by rpm

i'm currently reading "easy game" volume 3 by baluga whale. it's cool because he seems to be as disinclined towards maths as i am.

reading, writing, and ?? i forget

RPM, have you read the first volume? If so can you give your thoughts on it? Looking for a good poker book but also not too hip on math right now.

Congrats on the Waters tix. Haven't seen Floyd in forever (87 maybe).

i've not read the first one supa but as best i can tell, the second and third are basically the same with some additional material and some slightly altered. i think much of the content from the first has survived unedited in the third. what i've read so far has been very good. although i've not got very far through the advanced section, and some of the stuff i've read in it so far seems somewhat irrelevant against a lot of players at small stakes and especially microstakes. but if you're able to pick and choose which aspects you think would be applicable to your games and take the rest with a grain of salt, at least for the time being, then i'd say it's a good investment.

here is a graph of my results from last year.

i won a couple of thousand more (AUS$ though) playing live poker.

edit: plus (i think) somewhere between $1.5k and 2k in bonuses/rakeback




i didnt really play at all in december due to some "irl" tilt which became a pretty clear influence on my poker game, as well as a pretty severe lack of motivation to study/grind. those two factors were almost certainly related to one another. i'm planning to start grinding again in the very near future. i intend to drop back to 25nl 6m and work on some "basics" for a while. get my poker head screwed back on. may or may not keep this thread alive. if i do hopefully it will just be HH's and things related to poker development, rather than graphs and such.

happy gamblin' all

Need to edit your title to "time to keep winning" imo, great work ethic dude.

gl with 2012.

cheers dude. sadly my work ethic has been utterly dismal of late. i'm hoping it will have been somewhat rejuvenated after a 3-4 week break.

you did great in 2011 dude. dont forget u switched your main game like halfway thru the year. 6max is more difficult than FR. motivation meh, for me the more i play the less i want to...you have a great work/study ethic. take a break, and you'll kill it by the time you come back. aint no micro grindin anymore, be happy bout that. hope u have a good 2012 (until the world ends of course).

just read this and it blew my noodle. i wish i understood the maths so i could "get it" on a deeper, more thorough level. but regardless, mannnnnnnnn.

COTW: Exploitative vs Balanced Strategies - Micro Stakes Full Ring Games - Micro Stakes Poker Strategy Forum

too much fkn strat on 2p2

yeah i hate strategy, too. knowing/employing a good poker strategy never helped anybody win more at poker.

99 rounds of roshambo. Human wins 37 31 31 woot! Great article. Another one that's hitting me at a time I need to be thinking about it. Thanks.

Originally Posted by supa

Another one that's hitting me at a time I need to be thinking about it. Thanks.

no worries, yeah that clarified a lot of things for me which had been bugging me for a while. that dude seems to have an awesome knack for explaining concepts.

Originally Posted by rpm

yeah i hate strategy, too. knowing/employing a good poker strategy never helped anybody win more at poker.

Should I be surprised you didn't get what I meant?

Originally Posted by EasyPoker

Should I be surprised you didn't get what I meant?

Prolly not since I didn't get it either.

more gold. this one's local

Exploitation and the FTC Theorem

i'm back playing 50nl for now. two tables (not fast ones). not table selecting at all. taking heaaaaps of notes. using as much time as i need for each decision. trying be aware of/assess my own range+strategy while playing. been studying heaps. and i've stopped getting tired of playing poker after just 10 minutes. hopefully this is sustainable.

Originally Posted by rpm

i'm back playing 50nl for now. two tables (not fast ones). not table selecting at all. taking heaaaaps of notes. using as much time as i need for each decision. trying be aware of/assess my own range+strategy while playing. been studying heaps. and i've stopped getting tired of playing poker after just 10 minutes. hopefully this is sustainable.

all you can eat!
keep playing well and psyched

outa here bro, bans are funny things

Originally Posted by rpm

- sharpen intuitive sense of SPR and knowledge of how to manipulate it in my favour + plan my line/sizing around it
- improve preflop skills as regard the 3/4/5game vs regs who are so inclined (almost all of them)
- learn to form more accurate 4b/call ranges vs above regs (never really had to do much of this)
- sharpen thin value-betting skills via better understanding of the interplay between range elasticity/sizing.
- improve mental pot equity calculations (both hand vs range and range vs range)
- thin preflop value vs fish + learning to utilise thin, undersized value 3bs vs weaker players who will continue >90% of the time (aka "min-thin 3-bets", ty carroters)
- all-in semi-bluff required FE calculations. spoon taught me a formula in our coaching sessions last year to do this. i've not really used it at all since. probably useful.
- become more anticipative (is that a word?) in my play, be able to predict roughly what % of the time villain will call/fold/raise when i bet, and bet/check when i check. not just on the current street of the hand either. i want to get a feel for how villains will likely play their ranges over multiple streets on different runouts
.

these sound like some solid goals man.
how are you going about improving these aspects of your game?

also, anticipative...
its a word

pretty soon after i made that post i basically stopped playing and studying poker altogether for a month or two due to having lots of stuff going on. lately i've been looking at the more "abstract" kind of theory stuff about exploitation, game theory-optimal strategies and balance and things - trying to start being more aware of BOTH my own and my opponents' ranges in a given hand, so that i'm not as susceptible to being beaten to a pulp by the more perceptive regs.

as far as your second question goes, generally work away from the tables for me involves either studying concepts or whatever in strategy threads/books/etc, or doing excessively in-depth HH analyses where i go over villain's ranges and what they do vs different actions i can take, my own ranges, my plan in the hand, strengths and weaknesses of both strategies and etc etc etc

i used to watch a lot of training videos but for whatever reason they didn't seem to sink in for me.

dude my bad...didnt even see the date.
yeah I was just curious as to if you were book learning, doing hh's reviews, watching videos or what.

so. for the time being, i am playing online texas holdem again.

Nice to have you back bro, if only for a little while. GL wid the game.

cheers. the plan is to stick around. however to be honest it all depends on the strength of my mental game. which in turn depends on how much work i put into my mental game.

I'm a bit confused.. you were killing SSNL in 2011! what's been keeping you away from online poker?

i suppose a change in life situation (no longer a student with almost endless free time on my hands) and an overall increase in tilt which prevents me from being able to properly re-commit to poker since i took a break. tilt was also basically why i decided to stop playing a few months back.

Just read through the blog. Good luck! I'll be hanging out and watching your progress, hoping you get back to runnin' good.

thankyou sir. my biggest problem at the moment is getting my poker head screwed back on properly after a break. the logic is all still there but emotions and temperament are far from optimal.

Originally Posted by rpm

so. for the time being, i am playing online texas holdem again.

woot!

Originally Posted by rpm

i suppose a change in life situation (no longer a student with almost endless free time on my hands)

what ya doing now?

as for tilt. it's fascinating. Good luck taming that dragon.

Originally Posted by daven

woot!

what ya doing now?

recently quit a terrible factory job and am currently unemployed watching my savings disappear. drinking too much, exercising too little, and not playing enough music.

Originally Posted by rpm

recently quit a terrible factory job

quitting a terrible job sounds good to me

Originally Posted by rpm

and am currently unemployed

can be good, can be bad - make it good!

Originally Posted by rpm

watching my savings disappear.

Originally Posted by Dickens via Wilkins Micawber

Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pound ought and six, result misery.

spend less/earn more somehow? savings are for disappearing, but make sure you do cool stuff with them as they go. The flush-broke-flush-broke pendulum is a ride people should spend more time on...
what you need to earn for your savings to level out? 25nl cover that?

Originally Posted by rpm

drinking too much,

drinking ain't bad, hell, some would argue it's never enough
just don't destroy too many days...

Originally Posted by rpm

exercising too little

fix this.

Originally Posted by rpm

not playing enough music.

fix this.

best of luck with everything. skype davenpoker. etc.

Originally Posted by daven

what you need to earn for your savings to level out? 25nl cover that?

no idea what my hourly EV would be any more. not even sure if i would be a long-term winner, to be honest. i feel like i can see my where my edges are quite clearly when i'm sitting and playing. but then inevitably i make a mistake, large or minor, or even just make a non-standard play that i'm unsure about and which doesn't work out, then tilt like crazy, quit the session immediately, and don't play for a week. so it's hard to really tell.

Originally Posted by daven

all the rest

all good advice, cheers. do you use skype much? i'm pretty sure i have davenpoker in my account but i've never seen you online. that said, i'm not on there a heap myself.

Originally Posted by rpm

no idea what my hourly EV would be any more. not even sure if i would be a long-term winner, to be honest. i feel like i can see my where my edges are quite clearly when i'm sitting and playing. but then inevitably i make a mistake, large or minor, or even just make a non-standard play that i'm unsure about and which doesn't work out, then tilt like crazy, quit the session immediately, and don't play for a week. so it's hard to really tell.

Sounds familiar....

Nothing else in my life has forced me to be as honest with myself as poker. Seems like you know your issues. Why not play some 10nl. Some money is better than none?

Find that love of the game, again, the one that drove you to success not so long ago. I am big believer in the connection between how much we enjoy poker and how successful we are at the tables. It sounds like your not happy with poker atm, and that's a hard way to grind.

Good luck!

Nothing else in my life has forced me to be as honest with myself as poker

boom this x 218743394

rpm you know your current downfalls and you know where you what to be, the only thing stopping that from becoming a reality is putting in the work. There is a finite number of hours of work that will make it a reality. How many hours? pretty much impossible to estimate, but the only way you will find out is work as hard as you can and don't slow down for anything. GL sir