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  1. #51
    Man something was in the air today.
    Lots of crazies and I think the craziness was rubbing off on the regs.
    No "friendly" tables to be found.

    Suffered another bad beat when I "correctly" called with an overpair when spaztard shoved the flop with an open ender, and caught it on the river.
    I still ended up ahead about 1 buy-in for the afternoon.

    So I suffered two big bad beats today and had no suckouts of my own (and I did have a few that could have gone my way). If those two hands had held up I would be up about 1 buy-in for the day. Instead I'm down a little more than 2. Nothing to be ashamed of I guess... or is it?

    If I think about it, I would be about even for the day if I had folded in a few key spots.
    That's where the focus needs to be when reviewing today's sessions.
    Generally....
    Good play + bad beats = +-EV
    Bad play + bad beats = ---EV
    Bad play + no bad beats = -EV
    Good play + no bad beats = +++EV

    So, there's really only one way to win.
    I know this is all very elementary, but this is the kind of thing I need to remember.
    Remember it!!! Damn it!!! (Smacking myself in the face)

    Edit:
    Please don’t overanalyze this.
    Everyone knows bad beats are part of the game.
    I guess you could say…
    (Good play + bad beats) + (Good play + no bad beats) = +++EV
    or even better, variance evens out over time so…
    (Good play + bad beats) + (Good play + suck outs) + (Good play + no bad beats) = +++++EV
    …but let’s not get carried away.
    Last edited by MrE; 04-26-2012 at 07:58 PM.
  2. #52
    Quote Originally Posted by Lucothefish View Post
    I agree it's a fold to the 4bet pre, but as played if you're calling a 4ball w/ QQ surely you're shipping any non A or K flop? If we haven't got AK in his range wtf are we seeing a flop for?
    +1
  3. #53
    Luco's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
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    2,296
    If your hand and your play has a positive expectation against the villain's range then you are playing profitably, the actual results are totally irrelevant and therefore bad beats have zero impact on your expected value.

    Focus on your play, not results

    Good luck dude
    Quote Originally Posted by spoonitnow View Post
    Worse doesn't call, better doesn't fold, blah blah same shit different day.

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