In Depth Hand #1
This hand was from a couple weeks ago. I suppose it's not too interesting, but I have to start somewhere...
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
saw flop|saw showdown
Hero ($122.45) 23/18/3.4/lots
CO ($76.55) 53/4/2.9/53
BB ($130) 27/0/.8/11
Preflop: Hero is MP with A, Q.
1 fold, Hero raises to $4, CO calls $4, 2 folds, BB calls $3.
Ok preflop considerations. I'm in UTG+1 w/AQs, I'm raising here all day. My normal range here is fairly tight, especially because there's some loose passive in the CO/button behind me. The small blind is tight and the BB ... to few hands to consider. Looks loose passive so far. Anyway I'm likely to end up with at least one opp with position on me, so I don't want to raise complete garbage like I might at a tighter table. I suppose QJs is the weakest hand I raise here.
With the preflop action, I have to put the opps on a pretty wide range. The CO hardly ever raises preflop and I don't know if he ever 3bets, so I can't discount anything (KK+ etc). Since it's a raised pot, I imagine he's calling half his VPIP range, or 25% of possible hands. The BB i have less info on but he's getting very good odds. I'm going to put him calling about 18% of his holdings here.
Ranges so far:
CO: 22+, Axs, A7o+, K8s+, Q9s+, SCs 54s+, all broadway. Maybe wider.
BB: 22+, Axs, ATo+, SCs 54s+, all broadway. This is more like 21%, but I feel he's calling with a lot here.
Pokerstove sez I'm about 41% against these ranges.
Flop: ($12.50) 8, 5, 4 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $4, BB calls $4, Hero calls $4.
The flop is very coordinated given straight possibilities and my first inclination is not to cbet and hope to see a free turn. Against one opp, I might cbet most of the time. Anyway, I get very little information on this flop except that everyone is showing weakness unless they're slowplaying a set or 67, either of which would be dumb. I hesitate to even adjust ranges here because there's so little information. COs 1/3 pot bet looks weak, and I think you could certainly make a case for check raising here. It would look bluffy, but it might work. given the passiveness of the players, I elect to call. I don't think a bluff is going to win often enough to be profitable and we can bluff any high card on the turn.
Against the same ranges I now have 33% equity in the hand, not near enough to put in money for value.
Turn: ($24.50) 3 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $8, BB calls $8, Hero raises to $28, CO folds, BB calls $20.
The turn is a good card for me, giving me the nfd and a gutter (plus overs). Lets reduce the 18 possible outs to 12 (flush will be good most of the time, pairing overs, low straights good sometimes) and I'm about 3:1 to improve on the river. In any case i need to define the hands a bit more here and reduce my opps ranges. I think i need to semi-bluff bet this pot. It would be easy for one of them to bet me off my hand, and checkraising here actually looks more like what I actually have. No one has shown reall strength thus far, so I think the best play is to open on this street. In the actual hand I checked but luckily the CO made another weak bet and I put in a sizable raise.
Now it's a tricky spot. If I'm reraised here, I'm not yet sure what to do. If it was by the CO I'd probably play based on pot odds, but the BB could probably still get me off my hand. However, I don't want to leave the pot so small, that turn card really improved my equity in the hand. So by checkraising here I get myself into trouble when betting would have been better.
CO folded and BB called, so now I can revisit his range. It's definitely on the drawy side.
I narrowed down the BB range to
and on the turn I have 32% equity against this range. He could have some other garbage here some of the time too I suppose.
Another important consideration though, is that my play on the flop looks bluffy, and if I make my flush, it's not going to be easy for him to put me on it.
River: ($88.50) 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $86.45 (All-In), BB calls $86.45.
Allright, we river our gin card. It gives us a flush and also completes a bunch of straights. Also, we have one psb left in the effective stack sizes. When he checks to me I make the "desperation shove" and hope to get looked up by a straight/2pr+/or a lower flush. I can argue for value betting smaller here but I honestly think shoving looks fishier. I think a good player would fold here (especially given my cr on the turn club/straight scare card).
Final Pot: $261.40
BB doesn't show. (6c4d - 6 high straight)
Hero has Ac Qc (flush, ace high).
Outcome: Hero wins $261.40.
I don't think this was played horribly (by me) but it was not played perfectly. I don't know, comments are welcome. I obviously need to improve my hand analysis process. Maybe over time I will have more insight.