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Wow. Lots to sort out here then.
Firstly, it's not really juggling. The above actually represents something like 18 months of poker for me.
So far in 2007 I've played:
FR-LHE: 3k
SH-LHE: 4k
FR-NL: 11k
SH-NL: 97k
3-4k hands is not affecting anything. It's a weekend. It's nothing.
Let's have some perspective please.
I just played 10K hands of $50NL and just about finished up. This has underlined that even the game I've "beaten" I'm not beating enough... hence the restart and re-focus. So I agree with Trainer there.
As beginner's we have the bankroll focus. We often move up so fast we really don't have a chance to think anything. "move up! move up!" is the standard cry on the forums and too many of us do it unthinkingly.
To take a look at Spenda's post:
I have not got 200k hands of losing poker; I've got 200k hands at the end of which I'm down $.
If you see my SHNL graph it goes along, climbing slightly and then goes on a downer, then goes along up and down and then swings down again. I've moved up to $100NL and then back down again more often than I can now remember. And as the stats clearly show it's when I moved up to $100NL+ that it all falls apart.
To begin with I thought I was easily beating $50NL (and maybe I was pre-ban, we'll never know) and I ran 5ptbb/100 over 10k hands, added $500 to my roll and was ready to move up.
As I look back on it after 60k hands I can see that I wasn't beating $50NL well enough; but winning a couple of hundred dollars + bonus + rakeback and suddenly I'm ready for another shot.
I mean that I actually had a good month and found myself up at $100NL over 15k hands and sitting on a $4k roll lead me to try $200NL and look what happened here.
It's not a steady line, there's ups and downs. I honestly thought after 30k hands that I was fairly good at $50NL.
Up to April:
and since then:
That I apparently suddenly suck came as a shock to me. But hey, I fixed that showdown problem, eh?
As far as it "not working for me", the problem is you get something like $2/4 FR. Quite clearly I'm not beating that game; 3.5k hands and I lost $139. But, in doing so I cleared approximately $250 in bonus and received $110 in rakeback. That 'works' if your focus is building the roll.
Short-handed I just suck. That's another story entirely.
So my focus is on SHNL, this time I'm not going to move up again when my roll hits $2k or $2.5k (I actually took $1k out of my roll to force myself to stay at $50NL longer). But traditionally I DO beat that level, even if not always very well. Even at 1ptbb/100 I'll EVENTUALLY reach $2k and the idea is this time to be ready to do so.
Of course it's possible, as Salsa says, that I'm one of the guys who can't beat the game. I very nearly quit last month because of that possibility. I finished up and so now I'll try again.
And while I'll take some good-natured ribbing about my operations, let's be clear about them. I like op-threads. I like to reflect, I like to share and I only hope it'll lead somewhere.
But while I've had a number of ops it's not as chaotic as it seems. I had the 7k5 thread, which finished badly and so I quit in order to remove some of the results-focus I had. I then had my "confessions" thread which evolved into a blog.
Aside from that I've had an SNG op and a ring op. The ring finished at the end of the month and so I have a new one. That's just because I think it's weird to mix ring and tourney threads as they're sufficiently different to interest completely different groups of people.
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