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Iconoclastic
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11-28-2004, 12:45 AM
Post subject: Very important
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 324
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Does anyone know of a chart that lists the % chance that SOMEONE has a flopped flush if flop is all the same suit and a X number of players saw the flop?
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What's the difference between a large cheese pizza and a poker player?
A large cheese pizza can feed a family of four.
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Humphrind
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 1,887
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This is how I play.
The flop comes 3 to a suit. What are the chances someone has a made flush? 50/50. Either they do or they don't.
Bet into it with top or 2nd pair and see if it gets raised. Get a read on the person. They will not slow play it unless they have A high, or sometimes K high. A flush is still vulerable.
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I don't know what they have to say
It makes no difference anyway.
Whatever it is...
I'm against it.
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Iconoclastic
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Flush
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 324
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Well I was bet INTO holding top two pair before my turn to act and the bet was 3x the pot/half of our stacks.
I had to figure out if he was protecting TPTK,twopair,set, small flush OR semibluffing with a A/K high flush draw OR not slowingplaying at all.
I have a thread in Hand Histories about this hand. I just wanted to see a chart and see what the stats say in terms of where I generally stood.
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What's the difference between a large cheese pizza and a poker player?
A large cheese pizza can feed a family of four.
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zenbitz
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 2,911
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Code:
Number of people with a flush (assuming you don't)
1 2 3 4 5
2 0.04348 X X X X
3 0.08696 0.00129 X X X
4 0.13043 0.00772 0.00002 X X
5 0.17391 0.01544 0.00054 0.00000 X
6 0.21739 0.02574 0.00135 0.00002 0.00000
7 0.26087 0.03861 0.00269 0.00006 0.00000
8 0.30435 0.05405 0.00471 0.00014 0.00000
9 0.34783 0.07207 0.00753 0.00029 0.00000
I did this in excel. It might be right. First column is number of people in the hand. So, if YOU have the flush, then shift one colum over to the right and divide by .04 (or more precisely, the 2/1 column, .04348).
And yes, those "0.00000" are actually like 10e-07
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Iconoclastic
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Flush
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 324
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Cool.
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What's the difference between a large cheese pizza and a poker player?
A large cheese pizza can feed a family of four.
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