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Trashcona
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11-07-2008, 07:19 PM
Post subject: turned trip aces with ok kicker 25NL
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 147
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Villain is 60/14/21 over 70 hands or so. What kind of range can we put him on here? Also, if my Ten was a club do I snap call here?
PS - I didn't get to top off my stack after losing the previous hand, hence my stack size....meh.
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($17.03)
Button ($23.10)
SB ($36.20)
Hero (BB) ($21.05)
UTG ($50.20)
MP ($39.60)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , 10
1 fold, MP calls $0.25, 3 folds, Hero checks
Flop: ($0.65) 5 , A , 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.65, MP raises $1.30, Hero calls $0.65
Turn: ($3.25) A (2 players)
Hero bets $3.25, MP raises $38.05 (All-In), Hero ??
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al yell
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Flush
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 515
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this guy seems like a bit of a maniac. I personally don't see myself ever folding here, but that's just me.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Board: As 5c 4c Ah
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.493% 43.27% 08.22% 971 184.50 { AA, 55-44, A2s+, A2o+ }
Hand 1: 48.507% 40.29% 08.22% 904 184.50 { AcTh }
What does his flop raise mean?
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ChrisBCritter
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11-07-2008, 07:56 PM
Post subject: Re: turned trip aces with ok kicker 25NL
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#4 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Falmouth, ME
Posts: 781
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trashcona
Villain is 60/14/21 over 70 hands or so.
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Snap him off easily here. Hopefully his A-trash isn't A4 or A5..
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Hey knucklehead! Bonk!
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Fnord
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11-07-2008, 07:58 PM
Post subject: Re: turned trip aces with ok kicker 25NL
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#5 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by ChrisBCritter
Snap him off easily here.
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Why? We're flipping against the range of any Ace, any boat. Is this a bluff line from him? What does his flop raise mean?
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ChrisBCritter
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Full House
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Falmouth, ME
Posts: 781
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Fnord
Board: As 5c 4c Ah
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.493% 43.27% 08.22% 971 184.50 { AA, 55-44, A2s+, A2o+ }
Hand 1: 48.507% 40.29% 08.22% 904 184.50 { AcTh }
What does his flop raise mean?
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Well, you can take AA out of that range (DUCY)... and add some flush draws, that will already make it a lot more favorable to us...
Board: As 5c 4c Ah
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 30.867% 26.31% 4.56% 1065 184.50 { 55-44, A2s+, K2s+, A2o+ }
Hand 1: 69.133% 64.58% 4.56% 2614 184.50 { AcTh }
Quote:
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Originally Posted by fnord
Why? We're flipping against the range of any Ace, any boat. Is this a bluff line from him? What does his flop raise mean?
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From a 60/14/21 this most definitely can be a bluff line. I like a range with some flush draws also, maybe not as extreme as above, but we are doing better than flipping IMO...
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Trashcona
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11-07-2008, 08:18 PM
Post subject: Re: turned trip aces with ok kicker 25NL
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#7 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 147
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Fnord
Quote:
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Originally Posted by ChrisBCritter
Snap him off easily here.
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Why? We're flipping against the range of any Ace, any boat. Is this a bluff line from him? What does his flop raise mean?
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Do you figure this is a spot where we can 4bet the flop to get more info on our hand strength? Because I figured the minraise comming from this particular player could have been any hand in his range IMO. Do we discount hands in his range like AA/AK/AQ as I would imagine he'd raise pre with these?
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Fnord
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11-07-2008, 08:26 PM
Post subject: Re: turned trip aces with ok kicker 25NL
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#8 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trashcona
I figured the minraise comming from this particular player could have been any hand in his range IMO.
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Have you seen him do it before? I think the flop action gives you a lot of insight into his range if you've been paying attention. Based on pre-flop stats alone, I agree that we don't know much and probably should just pay him off. A little more care on our part can turn this into a fist pump or laydown though.
Here's a hand I played a couple months ago against a similar opponent after I'd seen him raise/fold a funny board, then call down most of his hands and draws. So it made it easy to figure out what sorts of hands he's raising...
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
4 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
CO ($537.10)
Hero ($345.05)
SB ($209.00)
BB ($138.30)
Pre-flop: ($3, 4 players) Hero is BTN
1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 1 fold, BB calls $4
Flop: ($13, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB raises to $24, Hero calls $16
Turn: ($61, 2 players)
BB bets $50, Hero goes all-in $315.05, BB goes all-in $58.30
River: ($484.35, 2 players)
Final Pot: $277.60
BB shows:
Hero shows:
Hero wins $482.35 ( won +$137.30 )
BB lost -$138.30
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is 21 his aggression frequency or his aggression factor? lol
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kb coolman
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Flush
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 596
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by iopq
is 21 his aggression frequency or his aggression factor? lol
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LOL. Either way, you're stacking off with this guy on any hand that goes to the river.
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I'd fold if that was his AFq
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kb coolman
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Flush
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 596
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DOH!! For some reason, I read it as 51 instead of 21.
Yes, def fold if it's AFq.
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killerkebab
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Straight
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 149
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sorry for the off topic, but if AF is defined as bets+raises/calls, what is AFq defined as?
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Trashcona
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Straight
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 147
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It's agg factor not frequency.
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a500lbgorilla
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JESUS TAKE THE KEYBOARD
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: This room is a good place to be
Posts: 8,379
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You have no notes on a 60/14/21?
as played, stack off.
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Smithers, use the amnesia ray.
You mean the revolver, sir?
Precisely.
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Trashcona
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Straight
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 147
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
You have no notes on a 60/14/21?
as played, stack off.
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Sad thing is, I haven't seen him go to showdown yet at this point. I have seen him c/minraise and he's been making smallish sized bets in relation to the pot, but that's about it.
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kb coolman
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Flush
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 596
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Against this guy with no other reads, you have to shove.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trashcona
It's agg factor not frequency.
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you want to fold to ANYONE with 21 aggression factor??
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Trashcona
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Straight
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 147
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by iopq
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trashcona
It's agg factor not frequency.
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you want to fold to ANYONE with 21 aggression factor??
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It's precisely why I called, but I feel that the stat is misleading in this case seeing as he's been minbetting/minraising a ton. Personally I couldn't get that number out of my head at the time.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trashcona
Quote:
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Originally Posted by iopq
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trashcona
It's agg factor not frequency.
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you want to fold to ANYONE with 21 aggression factor??
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It's precisely why I called, but I feel that the stat is misleading in this case seeing as he's been minbetting/minraising a ton. Personally I couldn't get that number out of my head at the time.
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You're a flip against his range, unless he only shoves the nuts
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a500lbgorilla
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JESUS TAKE THE KEYBOARD
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: This room is a good place to be
Posts: 8,379
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a fold would prolly be ok if you're running off his bet-sizing as a tell. But on the forum, I don't think that's the appropriate advice.
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Smithers, use the amnesia ray.
You mean the revolver, sir?
Precisely.
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