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turned set facing a raise (5NL)

  
 
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miracleriver
Old 07-08-2008, 11:09 PM     Post subject: turned set facing a raise (5NL) #1 (permalink)  
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($9.88)
BB ($3.60)
UTG ($4.41)
Hero ($7.50)
MP1 ($9.83)
MP2 ($4.95)
CO ($6.37)
Button ($9.98)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 7, 7.
1 fold, Hero calls $0.05, 1 fold, MP2 raises to $0.25, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.20.

Flop: ($0.57) 6, 4, Q (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks.

Turn: ($0.57) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.5, MP2 raises to $1.5, Hero scratches his head and ???

No read on villain. I am very confused here. What should I do?
 
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ponyboy
Old 07-08-2008, 11:19 PM #2 (permalink)  
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ponyboy
He did the initial raise so QQ is possible, but so are a bunch of other hands including AQ. He may be checking to see if you are drawing to a straight. I would reraise - if he pushes then you have a hard decision to make.
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miracleriver
Old 07-08-2008, 11:37 PM #3 (permalink)  
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miracleriver
Quote:
Originally Posted by ponyboy
He did the initial raise so QQ is possible, but so are a bunch of other hands including AQ. He may be checking to see if you are drawing to a straight.
Why would he let me draw for free?

Quote:
Originally Posted by ponyboy
I would reraise - if he pushes then you have a hard decision to make.
The pot before reraising is $2.57 and he has $3.20 left. If I reraise, I may as well push.
 
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ponyboy
Old 07-08-2008, 11:53 PM #4 (permalink)  
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ponyboy
Quote:
Originally Posted by miracleriver
Quote:
Originally Posted by ponyboy
He did the initial raise so QQ is possible, but so are a bunch of other hands including AQ. He may be checking to see if you are drawing to a straight.
Why would he let me draw for free?

I wrote that wrong - I meant he's testing to see if you are possibly on a straight draw.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ponyboy
I would reraise - if he pushes then you have a hard decision to make.
The pot before reraising is $2.57 and he has $3.20 left. If I reraise, I may as well push.
The only hand you are beaten by is QQ at this point (of course 5/8 and 3/5 but those are ridiculously unlikely). I'd push and if he has it then I pay him off. More than likely you take down AQ.
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Stacks
Old 07-09-2008, 12:03 AM #5 (permalink)  
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If you make a habit out of striving for pot control and not looking for the fastest route to get all the money in the pot with sets at 5nl, then I'm sure you are missing out on alot of value.

First off we can't fold here. The only hands that beat us is 35,58,QQ. Only QQ even has a chance of playing that hand in this manner, as 35,58 don't generally raise over a limper preflop. So the only hand we lose too is QQ and there is only 3 combos of QQ. However, that isn't all that is in his range. AQ,KQ,QJ,AA,KK,66,44 etc are all possible holdings. And you beat all of those. So a fold is not happening.

So it's either a call or raise. Well looking at the board you definately do not want to just call as there is 2 potential flush draws on the board, and a strong straight draw. Also he has already said he likes his hand by raising your turn bet, so go ahead and get it in.
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xptboy
Old 07-09-2008, 12:06 AM #6 (permalink)  
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I put him all-in

anyways, if he's loose then there's a possibilty he's got 35, I really doubt he has QQ, AQ much more likely, if he got QQ then it's a cooler
 
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ZwiFT
Old 07-09-2008, 12:37 AM #7 (permalink)  
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lol this is a very easy push
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Outlaw
Old 07-09-2008, 12:53 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Push and expect him to have pocket fours, pocket sixes, pocket queens, a straight draw, air, or a flush draw. Hope that he has one of the former two.

Tj
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