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turned full [nl30]

  
 
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funkeefeesh
Old 10-01-2009, 08:25 PM     Post subject: turned full [nl30] #1 (permalink)  
Two Pair

Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 32
funkeefeesh
$0.15/$0.30 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG allhood7 ($23.67)
CO 75HIG75 ($14.12)
BTN juanitto71 ($28.88)
SB beachkungen ($33.76)
BB Hero ($29.55)

Pre-Flop: ($0.45, 5 players) Hero is BB
allhood7 calls $0.30, 1 fold, juanitto71 calls $0.30, beachkungen calls $0.15, Hero checks

Flop: ($1.20, 4 players)
beachkungen checks, Hero bets $1.20, 1 fold, juanitto71 calls $1.20, beachkungen folds

Turn: ($3.60, 2 players)
Hero bets $1.80, juanitto71 calls $1.80

River: ($7.20, 2 players)
Hero bets $5.25, juanitto71 goes all-in $25.58, Hero ??

is this fine? juanitto71 is absolute disaster with 63.5/1.4/0.5 over 140 hands. but still, his w$sd is 60 and wtsd 32. his 3bet% is 0, fold to cb 0, cbet% 0, fold sb 67 and fold bb 0. for some reason i think i'm dead here as he's doing this all in stuff mostly with nuts (exactly in 80% of situations).
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Donkafelts
Old 10-01-2009, 08:32 PM #2 (permalink)  
Straight

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Posts: 115
Donkafelts
I'd bet more on the turn for sure. I can't see a fold here though, maby villian has the nuts with his T9 here but he probably plays 99 as the nuts as well so i snap call.
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funkeefeesh
Old 10-01-2009, 08:34 PM #3 (permalink)  
Two Pair

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Posts: 32
funkeefeesh
i was hoping to see his miniraise on the turn (as he's doing that mostly all the time) and that's why my bet was 1/2 only.
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Stacks
Old 10-01-2009, 08:52 PM #4 (permalink)  
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How could you considder folding when he could play AT/99/33 in this manner, and only T9 (3 combos) beat you?
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funkeefeesh
Old 10-01-2009, 09:13 PM #5 (permalink)  
Two Pair

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Posts: 32
funkeefeesh
Quote:
Originally Posted by XxStacksxX
How could you considder folding when he could play AT/99/33 in this manner, and only T9 (3 combos) beat you?
i don't and i want to call this. i only want to hear is calling this shove 100% correct vs that type of donk who's passive all the time but aggro with nuts.
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ColdDecked
Old 10-01-2009, 09:25 PM #6 (permalink)  
Straight

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ColdDecked
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Calling this shove is 100% correct because you're ahead of almost all of his made hand range, since only 3 combos beat you. If he's a 63.5/1.4/0.5, I'd just pot every street. If he has T9 here, it's just a cooler.
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funkeefeesh
Old 10-01-2009, 09:31 PM #7 (permalink)  
Two Pair

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funkeefeesh
thanks to everyone
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Stacks
Old 10-01-2009, 09:31 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Yes. It's an absolutely correct call. You would be calling $20.33 into a pot of what will be $58.36. This means you only need ~35% equity for the call to be BE.

If he ONLY does this with T9 and 99, then you have 50% equity, which is way more than the needed and a call is highly +EV. If he does this with AT, then you have 70% equity and a fold is terrible.

Also, he could very well have T2 or 33, so I obv wouldn't fold.

Obv if he ONLY does this with T9, then it's a fold, but that's only 3 combos of hands, and he only has to spaz with 2 other combos of hands in order to make this a call.
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