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Top two 200~ bb deep

  
 
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deucesomething
Old 07-25-2010, 07:13 AM     Post subject: Top two 200~ bb deep #1 (permalink)  
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Villain's 37/13/2.39af over a smallish sample. Reads include him not slowplaying top set on T76ss & that he peels with FD's/SD's. How's my line?

Bodog $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 820020
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
CO: $44.32
BTN: $54.55
SB: $46.55
Hero (BB): $55.44
UTG: $20.45

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with K Q
3 folds, SB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50) T Q K (2 players)
SB bets $1.12, Hero raises to $5.00, SB raises to $13.62, Hero calls $8.62

Turn: ($28.74) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $32.18 all in, Hero folds




equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.064% 38.88% 05.18% 18091 2412.00 { KhQc }
Hand 1: 55.936% 50.75% 05.18% 23615 2412.00 { QQ+, TT, AJs, KQs, KTs, QTs, J9s, AJo, KQo, KTo, QTo }
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kiwiMark
Old 07-25-2010, 07:47 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 You never need more than fifty percent equity for calling to be +EV.

How To: Analyze Calling An All-in
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daven
Old 07-25-2010, 08:55 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by deucesomething View Post
How's my line?
pretty bad, you should either be folding to the flop 3b or snapping the turn shove.
also, you don't need 53%, you need to be good about 35%-ish for a turn call to be +EV
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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Keith
Old 07-25-2010, 09:27 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 what are his tendencies when it folds to him in the SB and his steal stats? I'd have suspected him blindstealing and defended in this case by raising him to 2.25 if he had high steal stats.
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deucesomething
Old 07-25-2010, 09:33 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Seems like I forgot to add the fraction bet to pot size, durrr.

I still can't make up my mind about this hand. Part of me wanted to snapcall his shove but his 3bet esp over my large raise just seemed so strong. Forgot to mention that he raises flops only 2.5% of the time (120 hands). Since he's relatively passive he'd probably just flat with lower 2pr... the only other hand I beat that he'd possibly be doing this with would be AA.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Keith_MM View Post
what are his tendencies when it folds to him in the SB and his steal stats? I'd have suspected him blindstealing and defended in this case by raising him to 2.25 if he had high steal stats.
He wasn't particularly steal-happy (25% att to steal). He'd be more inclined to limp his mediocre hands than raise in SB.
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Fnord
Old 07-25-2010, 09:44 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Why did you raise the flop?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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philly and the phanatics
Old 07-25-2010, 06:14 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 looks like an easy call as it is, leave alone if you throw some combos of ak in there
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surviva316
Old 07-27-2010, 02:16 PM #8 (permalink)  
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 shove or fold to flop 3b.

and if you're going to call flop 3b, then FFS don't fold on this turn
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Donachello
Old 07-27-2010, 03:04 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by surviva316 View Post
shove or fold to flop 3b.

and if you're going to call flop 3b, then FFS don't fold on this turn
A thousand times this.

the 4s is the most benign card possible. Snap call the turn if you called the flop. Also.... what the shit @ you not including AQ and AK in his range at all?
[00:29] <daven> dc, why not check turn behind
[00:30] <DC> daven
[00:30] <DC> on my hand?
[00:30] <daven> yep
[00:30] <DC> because I am drunk
[00:30] <daven> nice reason
[00:30] <daven> no further questions
[00:30] <yaawn> ^^Lol

Problem officer...?
 
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Fnord
Old 07-28-2010, 08:00 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Once against, why would you raise this flop?

The turn card + action is totally going to drive this hand.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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daven
Old 07-28-2010, 08:26 AM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord View Post
Once against, why would you raise this flop?

The turn card + action is totally going to drive this hand.
@op, answering this question is going to make you better at poker
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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deucesomething
Old 07-28-2010, 10:42 AM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord View Post
Once against, why would you raise this flop?

The turn card + action is totally going to drive this hand.
Thought I'd raise for value and have a bunch of worse hands in his range call tbh. I may have chosen to flat against a solid, thinking player though.


One thing I obviously didn't do prior to my raise was make a plan as to what I'd do if he 3bet, so based on that alone I probably should've just called. It's obvious to me now that once I made the call I was committed and should have gone all the way.



I'm here to learn so I always appreciate any further insight into the rights and wrongs of my thought process.
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