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wesrman
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04-12-2008, 03:03 PM
Post subject: Top 2 on a drawy board
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Leaf Nation
Posts: 654
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Opponent is 58/4/0.4.
http://weaktight.com/158345
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d0zer
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Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,521
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Exactly how I woulda played it 
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Robb
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 3,072
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This is tricky. As played, I'm folding. We've a got a superpassive 0.4 betting and then rr'ing. That means strong. And what can he have here? A big set (TT most likely since even this guy probably raises JJ+), 99, 88, T9, two diamonds or some kind of combo hand.
All that said, I probably raise bigger ($2.50) on the flop planning to fold if rr'd. If I'm willing to go all-in, I just shove the flop. I think he's got to draw to beat me, and I want to deny the odds.
But this is a tough one, no doubt. You played it fine, imo.
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bikes
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a hot damn mess
Administrator
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 2,448
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I dont hate B/F this flop. I hate doing things off stats cause if its like 200 hands or less its pretty insignificant.
I'm folding to his donk lead and minraise. I think its very likely he slowplayed AK or has TT or its some sick cooler and he has QQ or JJ
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I damage threads that may actually benefit some posters
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will641
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: getting my swell on
Posts: 1,610
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standard. i probably raise flop bigger though, maybe to like $2 almost. he is a total fish, you think he folds a K ever?
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Cash Rules Everything Around Me.
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Erpel
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 605
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I think you ran into AK or 98 - with QQ, JJ and TT also remotely possible.
4% PFR means next to nothing when there's a raise and callers already in front of him. I don't think he's positionally aware enough to make proper plays and I would only expect him to 3bet AA and KK PF. No AK and no QQ - not at these stakes and with these stats.
People who limp in hope to win their money after the flop. This guy doesn't raise much pre and has 0.4 aggression post. He lets other people do his value betting for him. I wouldn't expect him to bluff or to semi-bluff bet a drawing hand. His hand is made on the flop, and in a big way.
The listed hands above are 37 combinations that he'd have played this way 100% of the time. Any other hands (even QT or JT) with any kind of potential he would play this way certainly less than 50% (and in most cases less than 10%) of the time - and that amount of hand combinations isn't really going to be that great to begin with.
This information you don't have on his donk-bet - only on his 3-bet is it time to pack up imo. Putting in the flop raise is worth reviewing also. I don't think it's wrong, but on this flop and with this player showing aggression (big surprise) I think I like a flop call also (on the first $0.3 bet.)
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05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
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