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DBL0SVN
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12-01-2006, 04:34 PM
Post subject: Strategies for AA in EP meeting resistance
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 230
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I'm always having difficulty with overpairs or TPTK in EP when I face resistance. This hand is a good example. When he raises me back on the flop, my thoughts were that he could have made his hand with 2 pair (97) or a set. However, I thought it was more likely he was behind with TT-QQ or even TPTK and was testing to see if I had 2 high cards that hadn't hit, or he was semi-bluffing with a straight or flush draw or even AK. I thought it was 60-70% that I was ahead and so decided to push. The alternative would have been to call his raise on the flop then check-call small bets down or perhaps even check-fold if a third club fell (although this seems way too weak given his possible range). I didn't have his stats at the time (no HUD) but PT tells me subsequently that his figures are (24% VPIP and 10%preflop raise). Is that a reasonable analysis and how would others play this?
***** Pacific Hand History for Game 16768813 *****
$0.25/$0.5 Blinds No Limit Hold'em - *** 11 29 19:43:53 2006
Table Punch Petit Coronas del Punch (Real Money)
Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 8
Seat 10: nn84 ( $52.75 )
Seat 1: DBLOSVN ( $100.13 )
Seat 2: TEREH04 ( $101.25 )
Seat 4: ladebora ( $76.8 )
Seat 6: tebadguy ( $50 )
Seat 7: latimba ( $24.95 )
Seat 8: Hupmann2 ( $49.95 )
Seat 9: CRGringo ( $17.15 )
CRGringo posts small blind [$0.25].
nn84 posts big blind [$0.5].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to DBLOSVN [ Ah As ]
DBLOSVN raises [$2].
TEREH04 folds.
ladebora folds.
tebadguy calls [$2].
latimba folds.
Hupmann2 folds.
CRGringo folds.
nn84 folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 7c, 2h, 9c ]
DBLOSVN bets [$4].
tebadguy raises [$10].
DBLOSVN raises [$50.23].
tebadguy calls [$38].
** Dealing Turn ** [ 2c ]
** Dealing River ** [ Ks ]
** Summary **
Results in white below
DBLOSVN shows [ Ah As ].
tebadguy shows [ 5c 6c ].
tebadguy collected [$96.75].
DBLOSVN collected [$6.23].
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Margin Of Error
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Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 254
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You played it fine. Just a suckout. If I had a read on villian as solid I would probably put him on a set here post flop though.
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She looked at me and said youz a baby right?
I told her, I'm 18 and live a crazy life
Plus I'll tell you what the 80's like
And I know what ladies like
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DBL0SVN
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Straight
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 230
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So against a solid player, you're folding this? Or check-calling?
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holdin2
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Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 279
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Margin Of Error
Just a suckout.
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So virtual coinflip is a suckout now, eh?
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
990 games 0.047 secs 21,063 games/sec
Board: 7c 9c 2h
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 52.2222 % 52.22% 00.00% { AhAs }
Hand 2: 47.7778 % 47.78% 00.00% { 6c5c }
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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you should stop just shoving your chips in with overpairs like this. it's the easiest way to pay off better hands.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by holdin2
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Margin Of Error
Just a suckout.
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So virtual coinflip is a suckout now, eh?
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
990 games 0.047 secs 21,063 games/sec
Board: 7c 9c 2h
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 52.2222 % 52.22% 00.00% { AhAs }
Hand 2: 47.7778 % 47.78% 00.00% { 6c5c }
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what would you call it? hero got his money in while ahead and lost...i do believe that's the definition of getting sucked out on.
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Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
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DBL0SVN
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Straight
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 230
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
you should stop just shoving your chips in with overpairs like this. it's the easiest way to pay off better hands.
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Ok, so how would you play it? Call the raise and then prepare to either check-call or check-fold on the turn/river? All seems very weak when there's a huge range that you maybe ahead of. How do you decide when to be aggressive and push and when to lay it down in these situations?
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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i tend to call the raise and 1/2 pot the turn versus unimaginative players here. Theyll raise/push a set and have to make a bad call with a flush draw.
It depends if you think opp will raise a flush draw here as to whether you 3bet. As a rule i dont 3bet a lot here anymore, its spewy against most passive small stakes players.
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by DBL0SVN
Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
you should stop just shoving your chips in with overpairs like this. it's the easiest way to pay off better hands.
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Ok, so how would you play it? Call the raise and then prepare to either check-call or check-fold on the turn/river? All seems very weak when there's a huge range that you maybe ahead of. How do you decide when to be aggressive and push and when to lay it down in these situations?
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you just have to think about what villain is raising with. most ssnl players play their draws pretty transparently, meaning they c/c with them and then bet big when they hit. i like either miffed's line or a c/c for the turn.
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Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
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holdin2
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Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 279
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
what would you call it? hero got his money in while ahead and lost...i do believe that's the definition of getting sucked out on.
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I've usually seen the term used in relation to bad beats, more of a "wow, what a suckout"
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by holdin2
Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
what would you call it? hero got his money in while ahead and lost...i do believe that's the definition of getting sucked out on.
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I've usually seen the term used in relation to bad beats, more of a "wow, what a suckout"
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well it def. doesn't qualify for a post in the bad beat forum lol, but i don't know what else to call it.
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Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
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holdin2
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Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 279
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Let's go with slightly unfortunate occurence.
I'll stop ruining this thread now.
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by holdin2
Let's go with slightly unfortunate occurence.
I'll stop ruining this thread now.
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We need a Slightly Unfortunate Occurence Forum - Yay or Nay?
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Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
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holdin2
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Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 279
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:::roffle:::
We'd have someplace to put all Ripjohn's and pbop's posts then!
(Yes I lied...still cluttering)
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badape
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 23
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hm...flush draw and a gut shotter, 38 bucks to win a 68.23 pot, about 1.5 to 1, and he has almost 50% chance of winng...I'll take that odds any day
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tapewar
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Edmonton, AB
Posts: 2
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Hey gang, my first post here. These marginal situations in poker very greatly, and are really key to any winning style in the short and longrun.
I had an EP AA situation like this earlier yesterday at a live $1-2 table. I put it to $18, and got heads up with someone who I pegged as fairly loose, and somewhat aggressive. He had $200 and i had $400
flop comes down K102 2 diamonds. I bet out $20, and he comes over at $80. I decidedly put him on a flush, or straight draw, or something like KQ or AK. However, instead of pushing him all in, I knew he would call because he is basically pot committed. Also, if he was on a set and I just call, I have another (small) chance to steal it on the turn if its a diamond. As well, if he is on the draw, Putting him all in on the turn would be a very bad call for him, but one he will also probably make with almost any range of hand.
Back to the hand, I call his raise, the turn is a 5 club and I go all in, and he calls. River is a blank, he turns over KJ and i scoop the pot.
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