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wellrounded08
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07-27-2008, 03:06 AM
Post subject: Straight Flush Draw, Did I make the right call?
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: ...Good Question........Where am I?
Posts: 366
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I didn't think to copy the hand down while I was at the table so, I'll just give you the rundown
~It's late in a 2,222 freeroll
~We're down to the top 20
~Blinds at 3000-6000
I got 54,000
I'm on the BB w/ QK of da hearts
All Folds then Mr. 250,000 chips(Made chip leader after some questionable calls) calls. SB folds
I check.
FLop:
Jh Ah 3c
Mr. Big man Puts out 50,000(or so, puts me all in anyway)
A few seconds pause, I CALL
He's got A4
FLop-Turn= Not a ten or a heart, I'm out.
All I wanna know is, did I do it right?
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LuckySlevin
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Live Poker Room
Posts: 1,050
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I don't think so I'm afraid. The chances of you hitting a flush are 1/4. Only other real out you've got that I can think of is the straight draw, there are four cards that give you that so you can add those to your outs.
Yet your only getting even money from the pot.
So you're still out I think. Needed to be a 50:50 chance to call, also chip leader is unlikely to be risking that many chips that late with air which is effectively what he would have had to be doing for the call to make sense.
I'm still learning, but I think that's about the sum of it!
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wellrounded08
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: ...Good Question........Where am I?
Posts: 366
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OUCH!
lol jk, ok, I can respect that., I saw all the outs flush and straight, And as I stated bfore, He had made some questionable calls, and had JUST gained that chip lead. I Figured my outs for the Ace, but I kept in the back of my head the chance that he had a jack, adding a few more outs.
Anyway, no tilt here, I got seven bucks off a freeroll.
More input is welcome, and wanted.
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daven
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,805
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You had M=6, meaning you were in desperate trouble. Best play, push pre-flop.
As played you checked the flop right?
you should have open pushed, you have fold equity + you are favourite against most hands.
next time!
Quote:
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Originally Posted by LuckySlevin
I don't think so I'm afraid. The chances of you hitting a flush are 1/4. Only other real out you've got that I can think of is the straight draw, there are four cards that give you that so you can add those to your outs.
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Lucky, you are almost right here! He has 12 outs (9 for the flush and 4for the straight, but take one off because you can only count the ten of hearts once) so the chances of hitting on THE TURN are about 1/4, but then he has another chance of about 1/4 of hitting on the river.
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wellrounded08
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: ...Good Question........Where am I?
Posts: 366
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Ok, cool.
LIke you said, Next time.
I had to stick with what I felt was right in the heat of the monent(cuz I'm working on the dicipline factor), but I knew I'd be comming here for approval/correction. I appreciate it, and will use it.
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asdpikas
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,056
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Push all in on the flop.
You are 50/50 against his hand, if he folds any percentage of the time... it's a good play.
If he doesnt have the ace, say he has the jack, you are quite the favorite.
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"could I take out every woman and child in a border town?"
For the right to be governed, waste them without mercy.
When you've decided. Meet me at the airport.
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a500lbgorilla
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JESUS TAKE THE KEYBOARD
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: This room is a good place to be
Posts: 8,379
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You checked preflop?
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Smithers, use the amnesia ray.
You mean the revolver, sir?
Precisely.
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wellrounded08
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: ...Good Question........Where am I?
Posts: 366
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Yes and let me explain why,
Chip leader would've called the BB w/ a great hand.(I'd seen him do it)
At this point I didn't want to get into w/ him since he would've called (I suspected), and I had a little more than half the avg. chip stack. I thought I would check and see the flop, if no hit AT ALL I would've bailed on any bet, and wait for my opp.
Am I way off here?(Please do tell, I'm here to be a better player.)
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JKDS
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Chandler, AZ
Posts: 1,024
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by asdpikas
Push all in on the flop.
You are 50/50 against his hand, if he folds any percentage of the time... it's a good play.
If he doesnt have the ace, say he has the jack, you are quite the favorite.
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this
About your question preflop, i would suggest getting pokerstove, its free and this is where these numbers come from
Lets say he calls you 100% of the time
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 63.400% 62.41% 00.99% 5236247160 83230284.00 { KQs }
Hand 1: 36.600% 35.61% 00.99% 2987581872 83230284.00 { random }
Then you would be getting your money in as a 63% favorite against his range. ALTHOUGH, it does depend on how everyone else is doing too. While you do have a m of 6, what may be more important as we approach final table time is what q is. For instance, i fold this preflop if we have this guy, you, then everyone else has a 1bb stack. This arguement can be used for checking the bb, but i still probably only do so maybe 33% of the time. I agree that you should wtf push the flop though, and i think this is a very easy call as i cant see him doing this with any hand that has outs if you hit your hand such as trips or two pair. Still a newb, so take that into consideration when thinking about this.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga
But no, jkds is lolvillager and anyone who wants to string him up is sighbad.
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Ragnar4
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Billings, Montana
Posts: 1,284
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betting is always better than just calling. Your opponent has a chance to fold if you're the one betting.
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The older I get, the more I start wondering; Just what in the hell is going on here?
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IhaveTopTop
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Straight
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 114
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Good advice so far....
I'd either push preflop (first choice) or definitely on the flop (if checked pf).
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a500lbgorilla
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JESUS TAKE THE KEYBOARD
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: This room is a good place to be
Posts: 8,379
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by wellrounded08
Yes and let me explain why,
Chip leader would've called the BB w/ a great hand.(I'd seen him do it)
At this point I didn't want to get into w/ him since he would've called (I suspected), and I had a little more than half the avg. chip stack. I thought I would check and see the flop, if no hit AT ALL I would've bailed on any bet, and wait for my opp.
Am I way off here?(Please do tell, I'm here to be a better player.)
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if chipleader is limp/calling hands better than KQs, bless him. MTTs aren't my thang, so i don't know when it's appropriate to avoid risk vrs maximize EV. But I'm still just gonna raise, and cbet most flops.
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Smithers, use the amnesia ray.
You mean the revolver, sir?
Precisely.
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wellrounded08
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: ...Good Question........Where am I?
Posts: 366
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Well A deffinate thanks for the input. I'll keep that in mind for a similar scenario, BETTING, better than CALLING. Give 'em a chance to fold, and he may very well have folded w/ such weak ace. TY.
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