Originally Posted by knaplek

Unless this is supposed to be just an exercise practising basic arithmetic, I'm not convinced that considering semi-bluffing whilst ignoring implied odds has that much value. I know you want to keep things simple, but I can't help thinking if people haven't got a grasp of how to do these kind of simple calculations either by themselves or after quite a number of carefully explained examples by yourself then they're not going to get it this time. It seems a shame to talk about semi-bluffing without discussing how it affects your opponent's range, your implied odds and basically all the interesting stuff.

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

Well then I'll expect you to write out a 1000-1500 word post explaining all of the intricacies of semi-bluffing. Until then, maybe you should give less excuses and do more work.

Originally Posted by rpm

so villain calls 60%, and we bink the turn 17%, the EV of that particular outcome is:

0.6 (how often he calls)* 0.17 (how often we hit when he calls) * 16bb (our immediate profit when we hit) = 1.632 bb?

Originally Posted by dranger7070

3bet bluff-



1.) 82% of the time he folds netting us .82*15bb = 12bb
2.) 5% of the time he 4bets and we fold netting us -9bb
3.) 13% of the time he calls, of that 70% of the time we miss and have a profit of -9bb
4.) 13% of the time he calls, of that we hit 30% of the time we profit the 13.5bb already in the pot plus his 6bb call for a total of 19.5bb.