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JoeHaw
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08-12-2009, 01:18 AM
Post subject: So I was getting kind of sick of no one calling me w AA...
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: IL
Posts: 186
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and I decided I was going to start taking peoples blinds. And more than just from the CO+.
I opened up my HUD and put in cold call (its called call open in HEM) and did some calculations.
If every time its folded around to me I'm opening for 20c (5nl) to win 7c, than
.07/.2 = .35
1/1.35= .74
So I have to win 74% of the time for it to be profitable which makes sense if you do
.74* .07 - .26* .2
.0518 - .052 = -.0002
so probably more like 75%- which means everyone's cold call percent behind me added up has to equal 25% or less if I'm instafolding every flop.
Anyways, every time it was folded around to me I raised 20c w any two cards if the cold call of the people behind me added together was 25% or less- which allowed for lots of steals w K5o from late middle position.
The one restriction I made was that I had to have recorded at least 50 hands on every opponent before I started stealing outside of the CO, and I'm not sure that's even enough.
I ran 17/14/3.45 an ats of 46.1 over 1223 and earned a buy in of W$woSD.
Anyways, I'm just curious if I'm like a complete idiot or if all my calculations make sense.
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,546
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welcome to 2007?
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JoeHaw
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Straight
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: IL
Posts: 186
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well thank you its great to finally be here
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surviva316
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Confusing people with my liberal biblicisms
Posts: 1,625
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well it should be cold call+3b PF because there are a lot of people (i'm one of them) who 3bs at least as much as they CCPF
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BooG690
I just wanted to share singing vaginas.  |
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jyms
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Tilting Mod
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,836
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your only counting successful steals. You also make money when they call and you Cbet and take it down.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,463
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your welcome 
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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JoeHaw
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Straight
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: IL
Posts: 186
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Alright well I've got some more questions about this type of thing I'll edit this post later
edit- thanks m2m 
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spoonitnow
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: IRC Chat Room
Posts: 5,406
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Most people will fold the most when you hold AA.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Ripptyde
I only have 2 simple rules when I am coaching a new student.
Rule # 1: don't ask questions
Rule # 2: don't ask questions
I have no interest in discussing strategy with a protege'. Your job is to remain quiet and listen. I have a very systematic approach that I will share with the right candidate and I promise that I will turn you into a force of nature and show you elements of the game of poker that you never knew existed.
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Good job, now figure out what to do when they start to 3b /cold call wider because ur stealing nearly 50%. ADJUSTAMENTZ OHMIGAWD
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Stacks
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Im opedipus bitch, the original balla.
Posts: 2,605
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Instant Aces
ADJUSTAMENTZ OHMIGAWD
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This isn't HU.. No need to deal with such things.
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surviva316
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Confusing people with my liberal biblicisms
Posts: 1,625
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by XxStacksxX
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Instant Aces
ADJUSTAMENTZ OHMIGAWD
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This isn't HU.. No need to deal with such things. |
lol qft
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BooG690
I just wanted to share singing vaginas. |
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