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set in a monotone connected flop in a multi-way pot

  
 
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miracleriver
Old 06-08-2007, 02:51 AM     Post subject: set in a monotone connected flop in a multi-way pot #1 (permalink)  
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($11.66)
UTG ($2.39)
UTG+1 ($0.95)
MP1 ($4.98)
MP2 ($4.15)
CO ($1)
Hero ($4.94)
SB ($1.43)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 6, 6.
UTG calls $0.02, UTG+1 calls $0.02, 2 folds, CO calls $0.02, Hero calls $0.02, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($0.12) 7, 6, 4 (6 players)
SB checks, BB bets $0.12, UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $0.93, CO calls $0.93, Hero ???

Clear fold, right ?
 
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bigspenda73
Old 06-08-2007, 03:03 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Let's think about our opponents folding ranges on this flop at this level and what hands we want them folding and what hands we want them calling with.
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miracleriver
Old 06-08-2007, 03:28 AM #3 (permalink)  
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miracleriver
do you mean our opponents folding ranges to the BB bet on the flop?
 
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miracleriver
Old 06-08-2007, 11:58 AM #4 (permalink)  
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miracleriver
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
Let's think about our opponents folding ranges on this flop at this level and what hands we want them folding and what hands we want them calling with.
I want them folding a flush, a straight, a higher set (77).
I want them to call with a pair, an overpair, two pairs, a lower set(44), a FD, an OESD, a gutshot SD
At this level, I don't think much of anything fold. Maybe a pair and overpair fold. Maybe a gutshot SD folds. I dont think a FD or OESD fold. What I am worried about is that among the players there will be some kind of combination of draw that will give them > 14 outs.
 
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bigspenda73
Old 06-08-2007, 01:23 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miracleriver
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
Let's think about our opponents folding ranges on this flop at this level and what hands we want them folding and what hands we want them calling with.
I want them folding a flush, a straight, a higher set (77).
I want them to call with a pair, an overpair, two pairs, a lower set(44), a FD, an OESD, a gutshot SD
At this level, I don't think much of anything fold. Maybe a pair and overpair fold. Maybe a gutshot SD folds. I dont think a FD or OESD fold. What I am worried about is that among the players there will be some kind of combination of draw that will give them > 14 outs.
Their folding range is hands they would actually (logically) fold.

So, they are not foldings set/flushes. However, they could be folding straights as they have zero redraws. We would like the straights to fold as we are behind them. Personally, I just might push here with 100bb stacks but we are 200bb deep.

Therefore, I just call here. UTG+1 is AI so we don't have to worry about his future bets. The CO is only putting more money in if a diamond comes and the BB could just have been cbetting. I would stack off without another diamond coming as well.
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