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running quad odds

  
 
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BIGandRICH
Old 09-02-2005, 05:59 PM     Post subject: running quad odds #1 (permalink)  
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i cant be bothered doing maths right now... so.. what are the odds to hit quads if i have a pair on the flop
villain goes AI
i call with a set (i have him owned)
i win pot
villain: **** this, this site is bullshit, ******* rigged, suck out ****
 
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Waterdick
Old 09-02-2005, 06:00 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Waterdick
Old 09-02-2005, 06:01 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Waterdick
i cant be bothered doing maths right now... so.. what are the odds to hit quads if i have a pair on the flop
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OopsYouLost
Old 09-02-2005, 06:07 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Very, very slim. How does that affect your play anyway postflop anyway?
All-in...
All-in...
All-in on the river!

- Creedence Clearwater Revival
 
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DaNutsInYoEye
Old 09-02-2005, 06:07 PM #5 (permalink)  
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5 cards out. 47 left in the deck of which you need two. 2/47 on the turn and then 1/46 on the river. 2/47 x 1/46 = .000925069 or .0925%
TheXianti: (Triptanes) why are you not a thinking person?
 
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BIGandRICH
Old 09-02-2005, 06:14 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OopsYouLost
Very, very slim. How does that affect your play anyway postflop anyway?
it doesnt really.. i just did it to a guy yesterday so was wondering

and thankyou DaNuts
villain goes AI
i call with a set (i have him owned)
i win pot
villain: **** this, this site is bullshit, ******* rigged, suck out ****
 
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rebuyman
Old 09-02-2005, 07:36 PM #7 (permalink)  
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i think its like 1:989
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edudlive
Old 09-02-2005, 08:25 PM     Post subject: Re: running quad odds #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BIGandRICH
i cant be bothered doing maths right now... so.. what are the odds to hit quads if i have a pair on the flop
Something like 1 in 25 if you have a set, thats all I know.
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Old 09-03-2005, 08:48 AM #9 (permalink)  
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1:989 is two perfect cards
which is what happens here
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ekillian
Old 09-03-2005, 07:05 PM #10 (permalink)  
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I've had it once online. Seen where a guy folded 33 on the flop in a live gam and 3-3 ran in.
 
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tcpj4
Old 09-03-2005, 07:36 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Running quads is not nearly as cool as a running straightflush, because when you hit your set on the turn you're going to be ahead most of the time. The quad card just allows you to say "lewl got quadZ".

;]
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Laeelin
Old 09-04-2005, 01:43 AM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tcpj4
Running quads is not nearly as cool as a running straightflush, because when you hit your set on the turn you're going to be ahead most of the time. The quad card just allows you to say "lewl got quadZ".

;]
did anyone see Daniel Negranu call the running straight flush card by card in the national heads-up?

That was so funny =)

Q. Is poker Gambling?
A. Do you use correct bankroll management?
 
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Old 09-04-2005, 10:09 PM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tcpj4
Running quads is not nearly as cool as a running straightflush, because when you hit your set on the turn you're going to be ahead most of the time. The quad card just allows you to say "lewl got quadZ".

;]
In the "young guns" tournament or whatever it's called it was pair vs. set and the guy had to catch running quads or runner-runner full house to win the all-in and he caught the quads :D
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daluchy
Old 09-05-2005, 04:13 AM #14 (permalink)  
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I pushed JJ once and got called by 33.

I hit trips on the flop.
The other guy hit trips on the turn.
Then he hit quads on the river.

Good times.
pulling a courtiebee pŏŏl-ĭng ā kôrt-ē-bē (verb phrase):
1. overvaluing mid pocket pairs
2. knowing you should fold, but donkishly calling or raising anyway
 
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Old 09-05-2005, 09:33 AM #15 (permalink)  
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Speaking of this, Ken Warren was mad about this one time where he had a pair of aces in the pocket and some guy reraised him and had one bets-worth left. He then set him all-in (this was limit)
On the flop it was AKJ and then it came T on the turn and T on the river

Ken Warren was so mad about it, that in his book he said he shouldn't have set the guy all in, he should have just flat called bet the flop. His reasoning? After he hit the set of aces, he would have bet and the guy would have saved his last bet convinced that he was beat and wouldn't have won that pot.

Apparently Ken Warren doesn't like taking a 981-1 chance of losing the entire pot.
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