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crazycanuck05
Old 08-03-2006, 06:43 PM     Post subject: Royal Flush #1 (permalink)  

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crazycanuck05
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I was just playing on Paradise Poker and caught 4 queens on the flop, and ended up getting beat on the river by a royal flush of spades. Anyone know the odds of that happening? I was doing so good too!
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jackvance
Old 08-03-2006, 07:08 PM #2 (permalink)  
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4-of-a-Kind

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 I'll assume Villain used both his holecards in the Royal Flush.

Assuming you had QQ (so flop QQx)

(2*4/50*3/49)*(2/48*1/47*3)*(2/46*1/45*44/44)

first two terms are opp hole cards, third and fourth terms are our quads, remaining three terms are the board making the RF.

= 0.00000000839%

If you had Qx (so flop QQQ)

(3*4/50*3/49)*(3/48*2/47*1/46)*(2/45*1/44)

=0.0000000002145%

Dunno if these calculations are correct, bit of on the fly work, but they might be..
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jackvance
Old 08-03-2006, 07:16 PM #3 (permalink)  
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jackvance is an unknown quantity at this point
 Oh you probably expected a sympathy response like "dude that sucks!" but yeah, I really just calculated the odds..
Sarcasm is your body's natural defense against stupidity
 
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CrunchyNuts
Old 08-03-2006, 07:26 PM     Post subject: Re: Royal Flush #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crazycanuck05
I was doing so good too!
Hopefully you were playing well within your bankroll so you can shrug off the loss and move on. The fact that you made a post about it, and not in the bad beats section, makes me worry...
Up my bankroll - buy Saints Row.
 
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