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rivered set on soaking wet board facing raise from unknown

  
 
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surviva316
Old 07-17-2009, 06:47 PM     Post subject: rivered set on soaking wet board facing raise from unknown #1 (permalink)  
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 villain is like 20/15 over 15 hands but is a complete unknown. like all of his post flop stats say N/A. this is a spot where i was pretty lost on ranges. i know that i only need to be good like 25% of the time, but i feel like villain has to be an idiot for him to be doing this with anything that i beat other than a bluff.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($9.14)
UTG ($8.40)
Hero (MP) ($26.55)
CO ($10)
Button ($5.29)
SB ($2.04)

Preflop: Hero is MP with ,
1 fold, Hero bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.95) , , (2 players)
Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.35) (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($2.35) (2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, CO raises to $4.50


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 18.644% 18.64% 00.00% 11 0.00 { 99 }
Hand 1: 81.356% 81.36% 00.00% 48 0.00 { 88-77, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, KdQd, T9s, 87s, 76s }

i only put in one of the 4 possible sets to weight it. if i only add one of the possible overpairs, then the call becomes profitable. i guess this is kinda just a question about weighting ranges
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birdman417
Old 07-17-2009, 07:04 PM #2 (permalink)  
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(Mr duvall would have known exactly what to do and pwned this....lol...just saw your location)

If it were me, and I am seriously not close to good (yet)..I think I would put him on something like A7 or K7....
unless he is a trappy bastard, i see him waiting for the overcard to show and "magic stone!" catches a straight
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Micro2Macro
Old 07-17-2009, 08:20 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 why you bettin' rivar
"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."

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Carroters
Old 07-17-2009, 09:21 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
why you bettin' rivar
Cos it's likely villain is bad enough to calls with 10s and two pairs and worse sets. It also ensures we never get bwuffed here. c/f just seems to weak, and c/c is horrible since we let him check worse behind and get towned by anything better.

I like this rivar bet.

 
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Micro2Macro
Old 07-17-2009, 10:19 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 I don't think sets are really in this guys range..like I think we would have heard about it earlier in the hand.

If we bet river there's no way we're calling a raise.
"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."

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Carroters
Old 07-18-2009, 12:36 PM #6 (permalink)  
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If we bet river there's no way we're calling a raise.
Agreed, easiest fold in the world ever.

 
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Old 07-18-2009, 06:35 PM #7 (permalink)  
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good, now fold river
he probably calls with sets/two pairs/overpairs on the river
when he raises you're toast
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