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QQ pre, scary spot

  
 
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trilerian
Old 09-22-2009, 05:25 AM     Post subject: QQ pre, scary spot #1 (permalink)  
Straight

Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 124
trilerian
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($1.25)
BB ($6.34)
UTG ($4.63)
Hero (UTG+1) ($2.34)
MP1 ($5.06)
MP2 ($2.24)
CO ($3.28)
Button ($2.97)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with ,
UTG bets $0.08, Hero raises to $0.24, 1 fold, MP2 raises to $2.24 (All-In), 4 folds, UTG raises to $4.63 (All-In), Hero?

Utg is aggro donk, had called a 3-bet from me earlier with KQs.
If MP2 doesn't get involved here, and UTG 4-bets or shoves I call, however MP2 is playing tight over about 50 hands. I don't think QQ does well multiway, but???
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Dannyboy6
Old 09-22-2009, 05:32 AM #2 (permalink)  
3-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 53
Dannyboy6
Too much action for me with QQ, personally.

Obviously you are either a huge dog, or a great favourite in a 3way pot vs a donk and a tight player.

Given your reraise PF MP2 I would think you have to put him on hands like JJ+, so for me, you've got a 1/3 that you're a huge favourite and a 2/3 that you're a huge dog (him having KK OR AA) unlikely he has QQ but who knows.

What're you stats like btw? So we know what MP2 thinks of you.
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trilerian
Old 09-22-2009, 05:35 AM #3 (permalink)  
Straight

Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 124
trilerian
Stats on me, for those hands;
16/8/54(7.0) with a 3-bet of 13
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Dannyboy6
Old 09-22-2009, 06:05 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Posts: 53
Dannyboy6
Then yeah, definately be scared of QQ+
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trilerian
Old 09-22-2009, 06:47 AM #5 (permalink)  
Straight

Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 124
trilerian
Ok, I'm trying to figure out the math here. If I call I triple my investment, so I need at least 34% equity in the hand to make it a +EV play. <--- I think. So to range my opps.
UTG I would say 99+, AQo+
MP2, JJ+, AKo+

That gives me 35%, but if I change MP2 range to QQ+ AKo+, it drops to 32.8%. So it seems to be close, and heavily read dependent. As I did not think I had enough hands with MP2, I folded.
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