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Pot + implied odds: bad call here?

  
 
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dzeanah
Old 06-29-2006, 11:26 PM     Post subject: Pot + implied odds: bad call here? #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Statesboro, GA
Posts: 95
dzeanah
How do y'all read it? Early in a SnG, no read on the guy yet. I sat and thought about this for a while, and figured it was marginal but probably worth the call.

Did I misplay?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

saw flop|saw showdown

Button (t1635)
SB (t2765)
BB (t1070)
Hero (t1450)
UTG+1 (t1160)
MP1 (t1235)
MP2 (t1540)
MP3 (t1395)
CO (t1250)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with , .
Hero raises to t90, 2 folds, MP2 calls t90, 4 folds, BB calls t60.

Flop: (t285) , , (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t190, MP2 folds, BB raises to t720, Hero calls t530.

Turn: (t1725) (2 players)
BB bets t260 (All-In), Hero calls t260.

River: (t2245) (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: t2245

Results in white below:
BB has As Th (two pair, tens and sevens).
Hero has Js Ac (straight, jack high).
Outcome: Hero wins t2245.

My thinking was:
  • His bet looks to be protecting his hand, meaning he's afraid of the flush (and likely isn't drawing to it)
  • I have maybe 14 outs here (less if he flopped the straight, but calling a raise from the BB with connectors isn't a high likelihood)
  • If the flush card hits, I might be able to push him off the hand
  • If I hit the straight I'm probably good, and I'm getting a bit better than 2:1 to draw to it. This is a good price, isn't it?
Don't know that he'd bet on the end if I hadn't goaded him into it (he asked if I'd pay that much to draw to a flush, I said I'd bet it if he didn't so he might as well.)
Poker isn't about making hands, it's about making hands that get paid off. -- Rondavu
 
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DaHorror
Old 06-29-2006, 11:48 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 616
DaHorror
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In general, I don't like it. Can't be sure which of our outs are clean, and it's still early in the tourney - no reason to take a big risk at this point. He tried to push you off your c-bet with TPTK (which he called a raise with ATo and way overvalues TPTK hands - definitely worth noting)...let him have this one.

But, if you're going to go the route you chose - might as well push the flop.
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MrSmiley23
Old 07-06-2006, 01:11 PM #3 (permalink)  

Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 72
MrSmiley23
dude he has no chips left what implied odds? easy fold, but if you wanna just say fucc it @ least put him all in on the flop
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