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Stripclubjunkie
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05-13-2006, 08:22 PM
Post subject: Playing only AA/KK=$$?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Stripclubs
Posts: 1,293
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I was just wondering if you could make a profit playing only AA/KK at 50$NL?
Strip
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andy-akb
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Maine
Posts: 1,836
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Doubtful. If your VPIP and PFR is 0.9% then even the stereotypical "unobservant micro stakes player" will take notice. I dont think you would loose money, but it would be very close to breakeven. The thinking players [yes, there are some] will play SCs and PPs against your raises and you would probably get stacked a few times. However, you would also stack a few players who hadnt played with you long enough to see how tight you were, so it would probably balance out.
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samsonite2100
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Your loosing, lolololololololololol
Posts: 858
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I'm gonna take a stab at this.
The odds of being dealt AA or KK is ~1/200. Therefore, you should be dealt either one of those hands every 100th hand or so.
At 50NL 10 man, which is what I assume you're talking about, you pay $.75 every time around the table. Assuming you start as BB, avoiding the extra bring-in bet, it works out to $7.50 in blinds for a hundred hands of poker.
The question then becomes, can you expect to make >$7.50 every time you get AA/KK at 50NL? I think the answer, over the long term is, "no friggin' way."
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Cocco_Bill
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Sweden
Posts: 1,254
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by andy-akb
Doubtful. If your VPIP and PFR is 0.9% then even the stereotypical "unobservant micro stakes player" will take notice. I dont think you would loose money, but it would be very close to breakeven. The thinking players [yes, there are some] will play SCs and PPs against your raises and you would probably get stacked a few times. However, you would also stack a few players who hadnt played with you long enough to see how tight you were, so it would probably balance out.
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Wrong, you would lose quite a lot actually. Just compare using Pokertracker your profit with AA and KK to the amount it cost you to post blinds thus far. Its not even close.
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Lukie
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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where's fnord when we need him
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samsonite2100
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Your loosing, lolololololololololol
Posts: 858
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Quote:
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Wrong, you would lose quite a lot actually. Just compare using PokerTracker your profit with AA and KK to the amount it cost you to post blinds thus far. Its not even remotely close.
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This is the short version of my post...
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Lukie
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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somebody post a hand history where they open fold   on the button (on purpose)
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Lukie
where's fnord when we need him
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I see no reason to add to this discussion.
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WhooFleuryScores
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 918
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Quote:
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where's fnord when we need him
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Where's Renton when we need him?This dude is right when he says open with all PP's and SC's ocasionally.Jesus if I only played AA and KK I would quit poker and dump my BR at the strip club.
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dsaxton
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 2,667
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Wait. I just had an idea. You could make money with A-A and K-K, while also playing other profitable hands.
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martindcx1e
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05-14-2006, 04:40 AM
Post subject: Re: Playing only AA/KK=$$?
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#11 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Stripclubjunkie
I was just wondering if you could make a profit playing only AA/KK at 50$NL?
Strip
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you could make way more if you only played pocket pairs
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Renton
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
Posts: 5,991
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you make money at 25 or 50nl if you just raise AA/KK/QQ/AK and set hunt pp's, and fold all hands worse than two pair to any postflop raise.
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Renton
you make money at 25 or 50nl if you just raise AA/KK/QQ/AK and set hunt pp's, and fold all hands worse than two pair to any postflop raise.
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agreed. go post this exact thing in the beginner's circle immediately please.
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