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picking off steals

  
 
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nutsinho
Old 11-28-2006, 05:18 PM     Post subject: picking off steals #1 (permalink)  
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Lately I've had a lot of success at picking off steals in multiway limped pots. Sometimes I have a decent hand, other times I have barely anything, but the bottom line is that I only beat a bluff and my call has a lot to do with opp's bet sizing and position.

Here is an example from today:
1/2 NL on Bodog, I have absolutely no reads on villain.
I limp in LP with K8cc. It's 5 to the flop of 7s 5c 3s with $11 in the pot. It gets checked around.
Turn is a red 8. Two checks, villain is 3rd to act and bets full pot, $11. I am next to act and I ponder the situation and decide I have about the minimum needed to continue but I should call and fold to a larger river bet.
River brings ugly Js. But wait, villain bets out full pot, $33. River just completed the flush draw and nut straight draw and villain seems to be in love with it. But why would he bet full pot in a 5way field on the turn as a steal with a high flush draw. I make the call. Thoughts?

I feel like a lot of the lower stakes players around here are not thinking in depth about opp's bet sizes in smaller pots and their hands get played robotically. There is a lot of money to be made by paying attention.
My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
 
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Renton
Old 11-28-2006, 09:35 PM #2 (permalink)  
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i don't think u can call the river in that hand. Don't forget that he also has to fear the str8 and flush from u.

I do make calldowns like this a lot though, but with more than a certain number of players (we'll say four) its probably not the best time to be the table police.
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Fnord
Old 11-28-2006, 09:45 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I need a read here.

Playing the table cop on mulitple streets a recipe for pain and suffering. I like to be the guy putting in the bets and raises when there isn't much of anything in the pot.
 
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nutsinho
Old 11-29-2006, 12:21 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton
i don't think u can call the river in that hand. Don't forget that he also has to fear the str8 and flush from u.
umm, thats precisely the argument for calling
My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
 
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nutsinho
Old 11-29-2006, 12:26 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Playing the table cop on mulitple streets a recipe for pain and suffering.
For the record, I've never called 3 barrels when the flop wasn't heads up. I think sometimes you have to make a 2 barrel stand when something doesn't feel right.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
I like to be the guy putting in the bets and raises when there isn't much of anything in the pot.
Me too. But the turn wasn't checked to me here, and I thought raising in spots like this would be a recipe for pain and suffering.
My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
 
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