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Passive villain wakes up on river

  
 
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tyrn
Old 04-07-2010, 06:22 PM     Post subject: Passive villain wakes up on river #1 (permalink)  
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tyrn
Villain is unknown. My problem with this hand is the range he's representing on the river is so small. It's KJ, KT and maybe JT.

He's wants to get lots of money on the river, but if he had a hand as strong as he's representing all along and thinks I'm able to call, he would just half pot the turn instead of checking and over betting the river. Can anyone justify a call here? It's obviously high variance, but could it be +ev in the long run?

I discount pocket pairs because the bet size, he's losing value from me looking him up with K high and smaller pp's. Discount JJ-AA and Ax, Qx, because of the above reason, he should bet turn instead of overbetting river if he thinks I'm calling.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($4.05)
BB ($7.66)
Hero (UTG) ($5)
MP ($4.57)
CO ($9.85)
Button ($5.02)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8, 8
Hero bets $0.20, 1 fold, CO calls $0.20, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.47) A, Q, A (2 players)
Hero bets $0.35, CO calls $0.35

Turn: ($1.17) A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($1.17) J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $2.30, Hero folds
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JKDS
Old 04-07-2010, 08:26 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 lolol fold.

Also thinking like "villain cant have these because it wouldnt be as +ev as doing this" is extremly bad thinking. Cuz i can say "well, if villain was just bluffing you, he would have bet smaller cuz a weaker bet accomplishes about the same thing while risking less". So now he cant be bluffing or value betting so head asplode.
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Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
But no, jkds is lolvillager and anyone who wants to string him up is sighbad.
 
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CBAT
Old 04-07-2010, 08:45 PM #3 (permalink)  
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lol fold..can you beat anything?
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Carroters
Old 04-07-2010, 10:52 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Possibly thee easiest fold i have ever seen in all of my years of playing poker.

 
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