|
Shake_N_Bake
|
12-06-2008, 07:05 PM
Post subject: Over pair weak FD 25 NL
|
#1 (permalink)
|
|
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Casper, WY
Posts: 14
|
|
Edit
|
|
|
Play for FREE and practice your game at...
Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!
|
|
Shake_N_Bake
|
|
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Casper, WY
Posts: 14
|
|
Villain is 69/6/2.0 over 32 hands. He has made a few very large bets to win pots with out showdown. I s the over pair and marginal FD enough to call a player such as this? Would a better play be to raise the flop instead of calling?
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players
Converter
Stack sizes:
UTG: $34.78
Hero: $48.34
Button: $27.69
SB: $8.50
BB: $53.77
Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with
UTG raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.6, 2 folds, BB calls, UTG folds.
Flop: ($6.05, 2 players)
BB bets $6.05, Hero calls.
Turn: ($18.15, 2 players)
BB bets $18.15, Hero ????
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
what is his range on each street?
what is our equity against his range?
what action maximizes expectation?
by the turn his range is 22+,AhKh,AhQh and some air
our equity is 50% if he makes that bet with 77 on the turn
but does he bet 77/88 or try to check it down?
how much air does he have in his range?
your equity was better on the flop, but I don't know if a raise makes worse call you may well fold some hands like 88
the good news is that you're only crushed by flushes and bigger pairs with a flush draw
stacking off is not a big mistake because of the size of the pot
|
|
|
|
XTR1000
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: May 2006
Location: surfing in a room
Posts: 2,188
|
|
his range is way tighter than 22+/AK/AQ. sample is small, but 6% pfr doesnt open a lot UTG. If you want to raise anywhere, do it on flop, this person will get in with 99/TT
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigred
xtr stand for exotic tranny retards
|
yo
|
|
Shake_N_Bake
|
|
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Casper, WY
Posts: 14
|
|
My thinking at the time was to call the flop and re-evaluate the turn. This was based on his previous large bets on similar boards. I was thinking that I would raise/shove any non-heart turn based on "any two suited" being a large portion of his range. Obviously a heart came on the turn making the decision much less cut and dry. What would be the flaws in this line of thought?
|
|
|
|
a500lbgorilla
|
|
JESUS TAKE THE KEYBOARD
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: This room is a good place to be
Posts: 8,379
|
|
If you call the flop, it shouldn't be the re-eval the turn. There are reasons for a call, and I don't think that's one of them
|

Smithers, use the amnesia ray.
You mean the revolver, sir?
Precisely.
|