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NoSocksLLC

04-15-2006, 01:49 AM Post subject: Odds of this happening?

#1 (permalink)

Join Date: Feb 2006

Posts: 65

I was just curious of the odds on this occurrance...

I have pocket 7s, and there's one player left with me. The flop comes KK7, and I bet -- to which he pushes, and I do the same.

They flip over KQ.

So, at this point, here's the breakdown:

Me: 77
Them: KQ
Flop: KK7

What are the odds of each party winning?

Best,
EW

PS - Obviously, I don't have to tell you the ending.

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Xo_Sirk_oX

04-15-2006, 01:56 AM

#2 (permalink)

Join Date: Mar 2006

Posts: 96

If you have suits Poker stove would be VERY Usefull. Shows you everything you would ever want.

http://www.pokerstove.com/

drtofu66

04-15-2006, 02:29 AM

#3 (permalink)

Flush

Join Date: Apr 2005

Posts: 595

You're roughly a 3.5:1 favorite ( I just picked random suits so it's not exactly right. But close enough).

You got your money on the table the favorite-- you made the right play, even if you lost.

Meh, it happens. Here's an 11.5:1 favorite going down in flames. I was pissed for a while. Now I just laugh about it:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Button ($6.80)
SB ($32.64)
BB ($3.22)
UTG ($10.07)
UTG+1 ($3.92)
Hero ($9.33)
MP2 ($14.97)
MP3 ($4.02)
CO ($10)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 8

, 8

.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.05, Hero calls $0.05, 2 folds, CO raises to $0.25, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.20.

Flop: ($0.82) J

, 2

, 8

(3 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, CO bets $0.85, UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $1.7, CO raises to $9.75, Hero calls $7.38 (All-In).

Turn: ($19.65) 2

(2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($19.65) A

(2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: $19.65

Results:
Hero has 8s 8h (full house, eights full of twos).
CO has As Ac (full house, aces full of twos).
Outcome: CO wins $19.64.

Seasider

04-15-2006, 02:34 AM

#4 (permalink)

Flush

Join Date: Jun 2005

Location: Bangor UK

Posts: 563

Result
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1662823
pokenum -h 7d 7s - kh qd -- kd ks 7c
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Ks 7c Kd
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
7s 7d 763 77.07 227 22.93 0 0.00 0.771
Qd Kh 227 22.93 763 77.07 0 0.00 0.229

you could prob play around with suits and change it a bit but u get the idea.

Stagemn

04-15-2006, 04:26 AM Post subject: Re: Odds of this happening?

#5 (permalink)

Straight

Join Date: Feb 2006

Posts: 195

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoSocksLLC

164,381,184 games 0.560 secs 293,537,828 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 53.0613 % 52.85% 00.21% { 77 }
Hand 2: 46.9387 % 46.72% 00.21% { KQs, KQo }

bantam222

04-15-2006, 06:18 AM

#6 (permalink)

Straight

Join Date: Dec 2005

Posts: 208

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_odds...08690a64a4ac85

here is a site that can calc odds for you in the future so you dont have to post here and hope someone else does it for you =)

Anosmic

04-15-2006, 07:30 AM

#7 (permalink)

Full House

Join Date: Jan 2006

Location: Sweden

Posts: 999

Quote:

Originally Posted by bantam222

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_odds/texas_holdem/index.php?PHPSESSID=b1981ae2d75a7d327908690a64a4ac 85

here is a site that can calc odds for you in the future so you dont have to post here and hope someone else does it for you =)

Meh, it's probably not important, but I prefer enumeration (like the twodimes site).

As for the hand itself; well if you lost it it's a tough break. But one would hope it's a fairly regular occurance. I mean, if we can get all our money in on 3:1 shots then we're going to be doing well.

I think the surprising point on this hand is that he has quite a number of outs. There's his 4 on the turn (the K and 3 Qs) but if he misses (and providing it's not a seven) he then has 7 outs on the river (if he pairs the turn card).

So what happened? Q on the river? That would seem the most likely suck out.

Blah blah Op Blah blah

Faith in Jesus Christ is +EV. That is all.

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