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NL25 Flop raised C-bet vs villians stats question?

  
 
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inƒamous
Old 05-10-2009, 05:17 AM     Post subject: NL25 Flop raised C-bet vs villians stats question? #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is running 13/9/4.2, %2 3bet, %0 limp call,%18 raise flop c-bet over 553 hands

My question is unless he is trapping, I think I can rule out sets most two pair hands other than maybe KJ?. 9hTh and hopefully not QhTh could be in his range. Now im trying to figure out at what point are my opponents making a move? Is %18 raising flop C-bets high? Im beating all of his range minus KJ and am only a slight underdog but am priced in against QTh. Should I have simply shoved against the raise of my flop bet here and hoped against KJ? and maybe 6's?

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($4.75)
SB ($25)
Hero (BB) ($25.45)
UTG ($5)
UTG+1 ($5)
MP1 ($66)
MP2 ($5)
MP3 ($26.35)
CO ($5.35)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A
4 folds, MP3 calls $.25, 3 folds, Hero raises $1.50, MP3 calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.10) K, J, 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.25, MP3 raises $6.25, Hero folds

Total pot: $11.60
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Old 05-10-2009, 05:40 AM #2 (permalink)  
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And people ask what SPR is for.
EDIT: four shortstacks at your table? LEAVE
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inƒamous
Old 05-10-2009, 05:58 AM #3 (permalink)  
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inƒamous
CRAP! I got this confused with another similar hand where the villian limped. And can't find the delete button under edit. Is this option not available? Anyways I don't know about you but It is hard finding a table with less than two short stackers unless I want to only play one table for an hour. Also I read PNL vol 1 but guess I need to go back and re read that. All I remember thinking after I read that book was stacking off with strength hand vs spr would just get you busted as far as my experience was at that point. It probably would seem a lot different now that I understand a little better. Do you think stacking off with spr vs strength hand is profitable in the long run?
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Old 05-10-2009, 06:18 AM #4 (permalink)  
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I don't know where you play, but on stars and FT I only play on 50BB min tables (on FT those are deep stack tables, I just buy in for 100BB)

I know people at NL25 have tight ranges and all, but he could easily be raising 8h9h because he EXPECTS YOU TO FOLD A LOT since you're a tight player

say if you 3b these hands he'd expect you to fold AQ, TT, QQ and a 3b bluff that doesn't have a flush draw
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inƒamous
Old 05-10-2009, 10:46 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Stars dosn't have 50 bbmin tables until nl50. That will be a better day.
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kmind
Old 05-10-2009, 06:08 PM #6 (permalink)  
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You can't delete posts after they have been replied to. But just making sure that the HH at top is wrong still right? Also, why not just edit the HH with the real one?
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inƒamous
Old 05-10-2009, 06:36 PM #7 (permalink)  
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word... thank you, I am forum retarded
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Old 05-10-2009, 08:12 PM #8 (permalink)  
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well you changed the HH and now it's much closer
limp/call I assume is a pocket pair and I don't feel like folding here is a big mistake if it is a mistake
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