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oskar
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04-12-2009, 11:26 AM
Post subject: Microstakes grinding prop bets, anyone?
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: in ur accounts... confiscating ur funz
Posts: 2,452
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The basic idea is something like 10k hands @ the micros - whoever has the biggest bb/100 at the end wins.
I think this might create some interesting discussions on what the optimal strategy really is... not just: do like whatever -> profit... which is of course true also.
I'd be in for $10-100, depending on against whom and how many...
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10k hands? Enjoy variance -> -3 ptBB/100 and I'll enjoy my variance -> 20ptBB/100
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ZwiFT
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Valuebet/fold
Posts: 778
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by iopq
10k hands? Enjoy variance -> -3 ptBB/100 and I'll enjoy my variance -> 20ptBB/100
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I dont think variance can cover -3ptBB/100 at micros for 10k hands
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Parasurama
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: DMT
Posts: 820
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we could play different stakes?
what's the highest stake you consider "micro?"
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JinxT4
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Flush
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 265
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So this would be like a 1 day prop bet?
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[04:18] <+Bbickes> do u has teh agoraphobia?
[04:18] <+fat> im agressive yes
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,463
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might as well just put some coin into a slot machine since 10k hands is not credible in projecting a true win rate.
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Ragnar4
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Billings, Montana
Posts: 1,284
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For those of you interested, perhaps upping the antie to 50k or even 100k hands would probably be a real perk towards helping you grind.
10k hands is kinda silly.
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The older I get, the more I start wondering; Just what in the hell is going on here? 
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oskar
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: in ur accounts... confiscating ur funz
Posts: 2,452
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I never intended anyone playing the micros to do this... wouldn't really make sense.
The only way I'm considering this is for a 3 figure prop bet. Of course it's not projecting a 100% accurate win rate, but that was never the intention. It's just: get a couple of low to mid stakes players back to the micros for a week and see what they can do.
I'd put a big bet with like 8:1 odds on myself that I'm going to be positive, and smaller bets for like 10bb+, 25bb+... - will think about the details if there are any takers.
I didn't see anybody object to the noob HU tournament because just 3 tables will never show a true winrate... why not play 1500 tables over the course of 10 months - that will show who the best players are. 
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Parasurama
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: DMT
Posts: 820
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meh i doubt it would be worth it for me moneywise to play 10k hands at a lower limit even if i thought i was +EV in the prop bet, unless we did it for like $300+ and i'm not really willinng to bet that much
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daven
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,805
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Parasurama
meh i doubt it would be worth it for me moneywise to play 10k hands at a lower limit even if i thought i was +EV in the prop bet, unless we did it for like $300+ and i'm not really willinng to bet that much
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100k hands prop-bet para? between 50nl and 200nl?
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by ZwiFT
Quote:
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Originally Posted by iopq
10k hands? Enjoy variance -> -3 ptBB/100 and I'll enjoy my variance -> 20ptBB/100
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I dont think variance can cover -3ptBB/100 at micros for 10k hands |
You've never had variance
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Parasurama
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: DMT
Posts: 820
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by daven
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Parasurama
meh i doubt it would be worth it for me moneywise to play 10k hands at a lower limit even if i thought i was +EV in the prop bet, unless we did it for like $300+ and i'm not really willinng to bet that much
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100k hands prop-bet para? between 50nl and 200nl? |
maybe, pm me with terms. i'm not sure bb/100 would be fair for you because i'm playing 6max.
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