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Medium overpair to ragged flop/turn

  
 
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AFchung
Old 12-02-2008, 07:05 AM     Post subject: Medium overpair to ragged flop/turn #1 (permalink)  
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28/6 over 50 hands

Small check-raise flop + Turn lead feels like a lot of strength here

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flow

UTG ($11.59)
Hero (MP) ($5.53)
CO ($10.98)
Button ($3.17)
SB ($11.79)
BB ($6)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9, 9
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.20, 3 folds, BB calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.42) 6, 2, 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.40

Turn: ($1.82) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $0.70, Hero folds

Total pot: $1.82 | Rake: $0.05
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AFchung
Old 12-03-2008, 01:44 AM #2 (permalink)  
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bump
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martindcx1e
Old 12-03-2008, 02:51 AM #3 (permalink)  
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what do you put him on?
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AnTman_69
Old 12-03-2008, 03:24 AM #4 (permalink)  
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im probably calling turn and reevaluating river. 7's and 8's could be in his range here, along with weird 6's.
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Illfavor
Old 12-03-2008, 03:33 AM #5 (permalink)  
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 I'd put him on A2, A6, 66-99, and maybe TT-JJ or something like that if he doesn't like 3betting. That raise is weirdly sized. Not sure that means anything, just threw me off. I'd like to think I could fold the turn because he seems to really have something, but I'd probably call and fold to a substantial river bet (probably not the optimal play by me given the range I put him on.)
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crazyasian
Old 12-03-2008, 03:44 AM #6 (permalink)  

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personally id raise back. If he has a monster or something, he'll put in another bet. Plus, if you just call the flop, even if the guy is raising you with Ace high, hes gonna fire another bet, which makes our decision harder.
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a500lbgorilla
Old 12-03-2008, 03:46 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AnTman_69
im probably calling turn and reevaluating river. 7's and 8's could be in his range here, along with weird 6's.
I would also call again and re-eval which might not be best. Really depends on who the opponent is and our history.

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AFchung
Old 12-03-2008, 05:57 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by martindcx1e
what do you put him on?
66-JJ. Maybe even QQ
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Old 12-04-2008, 01:19 AM #9 (permalink)  
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he should have A6 and A2 in his range
I'd call and fold to a large river bet
the reasoning is that we have pot odds to call

he's also going to bet weakly again or check if he has a weaker hand so if we're showing this down we get to do it cheaply
if he has a big hand we may be forced into paying off another small river bet

we definitely have above 33% equity, so I'd say if we pay off no more than $1 on the river it will be EV+
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