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Numbr2intheWorld
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10-30-2006, 07:34 AM
Post subject: a little lesson...
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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I was playing FR 100nl, and one guy was 8/2 over 50 hands. loosey limps, i picked up AK, and raised to $5, . One of the shorty blinds goes all in for $7 more. loosey raises $15 more, i fold. 8/2 guy pushes like $60 more. loosey calls.
the 8/2 guy had 89d.
I think the lesson learned here is that stats never tell the whole story at all. Someone with a PFR of 1% over 150 hands doesn't mean he ONLY reraises AA or KK. People aren't robots.
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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i wouldn't pay too much attention to hud stats til you've got like at least 1k hands, maybe more.
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Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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A limp-re-riase like that from a loose and short player is almost always GAMB00L! AK is way ahead of his range. I get it in every time.
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Warpe
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Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Canuckistan
Posts: 3,905
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
i wouldn't pay too much attention to hud stats til you've got like at least 1k hands, maybe more.
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gl with that. Not many players in my database change all that much after I've got a couple of sessions on them.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Also, many of my favorite players go busto before I would get a simple nearly that big.
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Pelion
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,206
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Warpe
Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
i wouldn't pay too much attention to hud stats til you've got like at least 1k hands, maybe more.
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gl with that. Not many players in my database change all that much after I've got a couple of sessions on them.
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100 hands is easily enough to get a rough idea of loose/tight passive/aggressivness in my experience.
Even 50 starts to give you a picture.
Waiting for 1000 hands before you start to judge people is a little ridiculous. You probably wont ever play 1k hands against the vast majority of your opponents.
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gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.
bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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agreed, it think 100 hands is plenty to give you a good idea of their play
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Quote:
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eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
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TerryToma
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Full House
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: wisconsin
Posts: 823
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
i wouldn't pay too much attention to hud stats til you've got like at least 1k hands, maybe more.
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i can usually get a pretty good idea of how a player plays after 20 hands or so.
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Pelion
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Warpe
Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
i wouldn't pay too much attention to hud stats til you've got like at least 1k hands, maybe more.
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gl with that. Not many players in my database change all that much after I've got a couple of sessions on them.
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100 hands is easily enough to get a rough idea of loose/tight passive/aggressivness in my experience.
Even 50 starts to give you a picture.
Waiting for 1000 hands before you start to judge people is a little ridiculous. You probably wont ever play 1k hands against the vast majority of your opponents.
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lol i guess that was excessive, but i still wouldn't be assigning really small ranges to ppl pre-flop based on a couple hundred hands. i know how my stats look after a hundred hands, and they can be waaay misleading a lot of times.
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Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
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jyms
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Tilting Mod
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,836
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
i know how my stats look after a hundred hands, and they can be waaay misleading a lot of times.
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I think your giving too much credit to the other players, that they can change up because of table conditions, position and even the opponents positions. Your stats will not reflect your playing style over the short term but theirs will. Give them the credit they deserve. None. Unless the stats warrent it.
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martindcx1e
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trainer_jyms
Quote:
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Originally Posted by martindcx1e
i know how my stats look after a hundred hands, and they can be waaay misleading a lot of times.
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I think your giving too much credit to the other players, that they can change up because of table conditions, position and even the opponents positions. Your stats will not reflect your playing style over the short term but theirs will. Give them the credit they deserve. None. Unless the stats warrent it.
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people can run red hot or extremely card dead over 100 hands.
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Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
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