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KQ in blinds 10nl

  
 
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philly and the phanatics
Old 08-19-2010, 03:53 PM     Post subject: KQ in blinds 10nl #1 (permalink)  
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philly and the phanatics is a jewel in the roughphilly and the phanatics is a jewel in the roughphilly and the phanatics is a jewel in the roughphilly and the phanatics is a jewel in the rough
 Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($12.40)
MP2 ($6.68)
CO ($18.09)
Button ($3.38)
Hero (SB) ($10.58)
BB ($5.78)
UTG ($5.76)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, K
3 folds, CO calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero bets $0.50, BB calls $0.40, CO calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.50) 10, 9, Q (3 players)
Hero bets $1, BB raises to $5.28 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero?

villain is 41/16 over 25 hands...

I think he is calling preflop uber wide, any 2 suited semi connectors, suited cards with a broadway (ie J2s), all broadways, unsuited connectors 98 and up, pairs, ect

i think he is shoving on the flop with QQ-99, AdKd, AQs, AdJd, KJs+, Q9s+, J8s, T9s, 87s, 7d6d, AQo, KJo+, QTo+, T9o

and against that range i have 40% equity...i think i folded during the hand but now i can see its a clear call? as i only need 35% equity but i have 39% If i drop 87s i still have 37% equity
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bhaley66
Old 08-19-2010, 05:27 PM #2 (permalink)  
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The pot is $2.50, his bet is $5.28, you need $4.28 to call...

$4.28/($5.28+$2.50)=~.55 or 55%

Fold imo.
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Imthenewfish
Old 08-19-2010, 05:32 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bhaley66 View Post
The pot is $2.50, his bet is $5.28, you need $4.28 to call...

$4.28/($5.28+$2.50)=~.55 or 55%

Fold imo.
The pot is 7.78, his bet is $5.25, you need $4.28 to call...

$4.28/($4.28+7.78)=~35%

DOUCY?
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bhaley66
Old 08-19-2010, 05:34 PM #4 (permalink)  
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lmao, dont know why i did that...

I almost did that the other day too...doh
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Saur0n
Old 08-23-2010, 02:51 AM #5 (permalink)  
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 I think your range estimation is a bit off. I'd add a few more suited jacks, Ad8d, Q9o, and lose 7d6d.

That reduces your equity to 33%

imo this is one of those situations where we tend to overthink things. The guy is a loose passive who overbet/shoves vs. a cbet on a suited, connected, high card board. You have TPGK with no guarantee that your gutshot/2pair/backdoor FD outs are good. Instafold, imo.
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parislad
Old 08-23-2010, 10:47 AM #6 (permalink)  
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nit picking but i prefer 0.60 raise pf if he's an uber wide caller with a limper
Assumption is the mother of all fuck ups
 
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