Originally Posted by Imthenewfish

H1) I know everyone else has said it so im not really going to say why but I like a flat pre. He's leading most turns and if we don't fold now we're going to have to call and fold on later streets..
H2) Bet turn bigger, I don't see villain as the kind to bet the part of his range we beat on this river with this card if we check to him, 'cos it's a scare card to his range so hes swaring at the computer 'bout how he got rivered again. That being said I don't really get the point of a blocking bet here. If we decide that our range is behind his range, we can safely c/f this card because I don't think he'll be betting worse (if he is, please tell me). But if we decide that our range is ahead of his, we're trying to extract the most value from his hand (this can still be a b/f amirite?). His range is missed FD's, Tx, Qx, sometimes mediumish pocket pairs, jacks, J9,KJ, and sometimes K9, with the occassional slowplayed set/overpair, but thats a really tiny part of his range. I'm going to italicize every hand that we're beating that continues (not saying that they always will continue), and bold every hand that has us beat that continues (not saying that they always will continue). we block jacks, J9, and KJ. There are 3 combos of jacks left, 12 combos of of J9, and 12 combos of KJ(gonna put these with the hands straight hands that got there; AQ has 6 combos and KQ has 8 combos). Thats pretty much 38 combos that beat us. There are two other queens, so we take 8 X the number of kickers that we beat to find the combos of queens that we beat(I'm going to assume he's calling most bets with Qx here). It's a small sample size, but I think that he's playing something around Q6s+ and Q9o+. we get value from Q6s and Q8s which is 6 combos-6 combos of Q7o. Q9o is 8 combos, and i think he raises QT sometimes on the flop or turn, so we're getting value from 8 combos of Qx. I'm going to put his Tx range at T8s+ and T9o+. 3 combos of T8s, 12 combos of T9, 9 combos of JT, 12 combos of KT, and -9 combos of AT. Thats 27 combos of Jx we beat (we don't really have any idea if he's going to call a river bet with these, but i thought i should count some combos cos he could). 38 combos that beat us, and 38 combos that we beat assuming he's calling us down with 3rd pair. EZ c/f??