|
Warpe
|
01-13-2006, 06:43 AM
Post subject: If I have a pair, and the next guy has a pair...
|
#1 (permalink)
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Canuckistan
Posts: 3,905
|
|
Question for the number crunchers amongst you: It seems very common for more than one person to get pocket pairs in a hand. We've all seen it. It seems so common, in fact, that when I get a pair I tend to assume that at least one other player is holding a pair as well.
When you think about it, the fact that you hold a pair should slightly increase the odds that another player will...if two players hold a pair, then it should increase the odds that a third player does...and so on....because each pair dealt leaves more pairs in the deck.
I don't know if it's statistically significant enough to be useful in any way, but I am curious as to how it crunches out.
|
|
|
Play for FREE and practice your game at...
Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!
|
|
Pelion
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,206
|
|
I dont think it makes much of a difference. If you get delt an A, and then you get delt another A thats only 1/51 of the remaining cards that have changed. I dont think that really makes a huge difference. Sure it will make some difference but i doubt its big enough to notice except after like..... a million hands?
|
|
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.
bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
|
|
BankItDrew
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Losing Prop Bets
Posts: 2,789
|
|
Not significant enough to consider.
|
Girlfriend: Why are the werewolves more important than living life?!
Girlfriend: Are you on the forums doing the werewolves again?
Girlfriend: Soo... you forgot to run that errand, but you had time to werewolf? Wtf?
|
|
AceJackAJA
|
|
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 4
|
|
although you are more statistically probable to geta pair somewhere in the hand than getting nothing, getting pocket pair only will SLIGHTLY increase the chances of someone else getting a pocket pair. I would never, for instance, think 'crap i have pocket 8's so now the others have a bigger chance of getting a pocket pair too'. Me just saying 
|
|
|
|
Warpe
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Canuckistan
Posts: 3,905
|
|
Guess the crash deleted a bunch of posts from this thread.
Anyway...:
http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...456&highlight=
|
|
|
|
swiggidy
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Waiting in the shadows ...
Posts: 3,777
|
|
I don't know if someone answered before, but here's some numbers:
If you have a pp, there are 73 other possible ways to make a pp. If you don't have a pp, there are 72 possible ways to make a pp. Since you already have 2 cards there are 1225 possible starting hands so:
AA => 5.96% chance someone else has a pair
AK => 5.88% chance someone else has a pair
EDIT: These are the odds that any one person has a pair, not that anyone does. That would vary depending on the number of people at the table
As for the KK,QQ,JJ. That's pretty improbable (1 in 10,000,000)
|
|
|
English
Deutsch
Español
Français
Italiano
Nederlands
Pусский
Svenska
05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
Linear Mode
