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tyrn
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09-05-2010, 02:26 AM
Post subject: I can't decide what to do on river
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 189
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Villain is 30/15 over 30 hands
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($2.15)
UTG ($2.49)
MP ($2.46)
CO ($3.94)
Hero (Button) ($2.03)
SB ($1.76)
Preflop: Hero is Button with K , A
UTG calls $0.02, 1 fold, CO calls $0.02, Hero bets $0.10, 3 folds, CO calls $0.08
Flop: ($0.25) 10, J, Q (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $0.20, CO calls $0.20
Turn: ($0.65) J (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40
River: ($1.45) A (2 players)
CO checks, Hero ?
I think theres lots of Qx and Jx in his range so checking misses a lot of value. At first I want to b/f. But then what if he raises with a king? Lots of kings in his range. I don't feel good about bet/call since i'm not sure about this opponent's tendencies. So go for value, or protect the stack?
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StarGrinder
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: UTG (aka USA)
Posts: 683
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Bet for value. There's a lot of worse hands that a 2nl fish will call with here. Villain never plays like this with better hands unless he's missing a chromosome. Worst case scenario he's got a K for the chop.
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spoonitnow
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: IRC Chat Room
Posts: 5,406
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Step 1: Put your opponent on a range.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Ripptyde
I only have 2 simple rules when I am coaching a new student.
Rule # 1: don't ask questions
Rule # 2: don't ask questions
I have no interest in discussing strategy with a protege'. Your job is to remain quiet and listen. I have a very systematic approach that I will share with the right candidate and I promise that I will turn you into a force of nature and show you elements of the game of poker that you never knew existed.
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tyrn
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Straight
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 189
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StarGrinder
Bet for value. There's a lot of worse hands that a 2nl fish will call with here. Villain never plays like this with better hands unless he's missing a chromosome. Worst case scenario he's got a K for the chop.
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I think you're right, just because I wouldn't call doesn't mean they wouldn't.
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Carroters
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Da Amberlamps
Posts: 2,216
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Just b/f this river for value maybe like 60c, we don't want to make it too big since we need to give the weak hands in his range a decent price, if he raises he'll have a boat almost always, but can still call with 2 pair hands and trips.
You need to be betting this turn harder, just pot it. He's folding close to 0% of his range on this card and you're actually missing valuye from draws Jx Qx etc etc when you only bet 3/4 pot. The bigger your turn value bet, the better odds you can offer him on the river, since he's never folding this turn, you're aswell going down this route.
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