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How's my line here

  
 
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tyrn
Old 04-10-2009, 07:12 AM     Post subject: How's my line here #1 (permalink)  
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tyrn
Villain 30/20/2 over small sample, that's why I called this OP PF.

Flop: I didn't think he's checking behind flop with a king after his 3-bet PF. I start thinking he may have TT, JJ, QQ, AQ, AJ. If he was bluffing PF, and wants to continue that line, he bets here. He probably has a strong hand that missed/is beaten by the king or he's given up his bluff.
Turn: Not like we have any history, but I'm usually betting half pot to start on dry boards with TP. His call tells me he probably hasn't slow played a set, but he has more than air.
River: I was contemplating making this bigger, but I don't think I bet larger on this board when I do have it. Then again, maybe I should be.

Any feedback on my analysis or play?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($1.98)
BB ($2)
UTG ($0.80)
UTG+1 ($2.09)
MP1 ($2.36)
MP2 ($2.82)
MP3 ($1.21)
Hero (CO) ($2.33)
Button ($2.19)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, A
5 folds, Hero bets $0.08, Button raises to $0.26, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.18

Flop: ($0.55) K, 3, 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($0.55) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.30, Button calls $0.30

River: ($1.15) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.80

Total pot: $1.15 | Rake: $0.07
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Stacks
Old 04-10-2009, 07:38 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I fold preflop.
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kmind
Old 04-10-2009, 07:52 AM #3 (permalink)  
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I'd fold preflop and c/f river as played. I just don't think there's any need to get tricky vs. these opponents when they have tight ranges. I'm also drunk.
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L_Clan_Sup3rMaN
Old 04-10-2009, 07:52 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Fold pre. I think your overthinking this and pwning yourself.

FWIW, your stating his VPIP/PFR stats n not his 3betting stats relative to position, which wud be much more important here than the stats u gave but no stats is important since it is a small sample.

3betters in micro stakes usually have the nuts or are maniacs.
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bigspenda73
Old 04-10-2009, 08:16 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I'd shove PF

normally when someone checks back this type of board texture they either have a big hand or some sort of medium-strength showdown value pot-controlling.
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tyrn
Old 04-10-2009, 02:27 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
I'd shove PF

normally when someone checks back this type of board texture they either have a big hand or some sort of medium-strength showdown value pot-controlling.
Yeah this is what I thought, I wasn't quite sure queens or jacks were folding to my river bet, yet I did it anyways since I thought the turn may help back up my story. This is why I play 2nl.

And to the previous poster, I only ever have 100 hand histories on villains at micros, so I've really only ever got their vpip and pfr stats to work with.
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okiman
Old 04-11-2009, 03:59 PM #7 (permalink)  
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okiman
Quote:
Originally Posted by kmind
I'd fold preflop and c/f river as played. I just don't think there's any need to get tricky vs. these opponents when they have tight ranges. I'm also drunk.
This. Except I'm not drunk.
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