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Staple Gun
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04-30-2005, 09:50 PM
Post subject: How long can a winning streak last?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Gamblers Anonymous
Posts: 812
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Well It started last Saturday, I had about $130 bankroll. Playing the $0.10-$0.25 blinds on Ultimate bet. This Saturday my bankroll is up to $530 and I have won every single time I've sat down at a table. I'm playing at the .25-.50 tables now and still winning. Overall I have probably played about 20 sessions averaging 100 hands each, and doubled up 12-13 times. The rest I came out ahead by at least a little.
My question is how long can this last? I know I am better than average at these stakes but is it really possible to win almost every time you sit down?
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jmontis
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,296
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they can go on as long as the cards allow
there is no outside force or reason you're winning this much, it just happens to some people. Learn to differentiate a "lucky" session, to a skillfully played one.
It is a statistical certainty that you will lose at some point, and possibly a lot of money, so don't be surprised when it comes.
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ensign_lee
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin
Posts: 2,237
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Hopefully, forever. Enjoy it while it lasts.
Extended downswings are considerably less enjoyable.
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Greedo017
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: wearing the honors of honor and whatnot
Posts: 1,461
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it can keep going for a while.
Just remember: when your downswing comes, do not blow all your hard earned money! when things are tough, you realize that even that 20 bucks you blew when you were tilting takes some significant time to recover.
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Staple Gun
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Full House
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Gamblers Anonymous
Posts: 812
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Quote:
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there is no outside force or reason you're winning this much, it just happens to some people. Learn to differentiate a "lucky" session, to a skillfully played one.
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Yea, I know when I won because I got lucky and when I played dumb. But I have only had one pot over $30 that I should've lost, and I won (I had KK vs. AA caught a K on turn). I have also only had one pot over $30 that I shouldve won but didnt (AI after turn he hit flush on river)
I just cant tell If i'm getting lucky by not getting any second best hands that commit me to the pot. Or if I am laying them down correctly and the fish are calling me with them.
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alias2211
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Flush
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: U, S and A!!!
Posts: 469
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staple-
i was thinking the same thing you were recently: the first two weeks of march i was up over $1500 net on the same $50NL tables at UB. i was on fire and ready to quit my job. then over the last two weeks of march I dropped $1200. the streak will last longer than it should, and it'll come back the other way with a vengeance!
winning poker isn't just winning poker; it's minimizing losses during losing poker, too.
congrats on the wins, though, that is one nice streak. i'll make sure to go the other way if i see you at UB.
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SmackinYaUp
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: B N L
Posts: 1,725
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Here's a little streak I had last night - check this out
http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...ic.php?t=10916
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black666
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Vienna, Austria (Europe)
Posts: 49
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You played 0.10$/0.25$ with a bankroll of 130$? Seems a bit to high for me. Check this thread out.
Anyway, congrats for your winning streak!
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Staple Gun
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Full House
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Gamblers Anonymous
Posts: 812
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Quote:
You played 0.10$/0.25$ with a bankroll of 130$? Seems a bit to high for me. Check this thread out.
Anyway, congrats for your winning streak!
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Well that was after winning $700 from a $5 buy in tourney. If I went broke I was going to deposit $100 more and take advangtage of some bonuses. But looking back I was lucky to not go broke. It seems like I hit a big winning streak whenever I move up blinds. I went to $50 NL with a BR of 400 and got to 750.
** Sidenote, the winning streak ended the day after I posted this but I've managed to almost get back to where I was when I wrote this**
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dsaxton
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 2,667
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A winning streak can last forever, but it's infinitely unlikely.
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