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Micro2Macro
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02-23-2009, 03:35 AM
Post subject: Having to check/fold here just blows
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
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Ahh..this has been happening for the past 3K hands so far at $10NL. I don't really know what range to put him on other than maybe a standard TT+, AK here. I just arrived at the table a few hands ago. I'm pretty sure I can't continue after the turn here. Is my bet sizing okay preflop? I felt I shoud have raised more pre so I could get more money in on the flop. What do you guys think?
Only 15 hands or so on villian who has been pretty active so far. Is shutting down on this turn okay? It looks really weak but I figured Ace's will make up a significant portion of his range.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($10.20)
SB ($18.30)
Hero (BB) ($10.50)
UTG ($8.80)
UTG+1 ($10)
MP1 ($10)
MP2 ($2)
CO ($6.75)
Preflop: Hero is BB with K , K
UTG bets $0.50, 6 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, UTG calls $1
Flop: ($3.15) J , 8 , 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $2, UTG calls $2
Turn: ($7.15) A (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $3.20, Hero folds
Total pot: $7.15 | Rake: $0.35
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
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http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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CBAT
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: NY
Posts: 831
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You show so much weakness on the turn. He either thinks you are some rook tryin to trap him? Or he knows you are FRIGHTENED by this A. And you are frightened by this A.
Throw a 1/2 pot bet out there? Think he's got AJ, AT?
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
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Yeah my turn play tilts me.
Should I be bet/folding turn and if called check/fold river?
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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settecba
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: stealing blinds from UTG
Posts: 326
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I think the fold is OK. If you dont have any reads on villain, a "reasonal" range for him would put him way ahead. Something like {88+,AQs+,AQo+} gives him 68% equity. And what is worse, you are OOP and gonna have no clue on the river about where you will be standing.
Of course with only 15 hands on villain, he could have a wider range but you dont know that, and you dont have any read indicating that.
One other thing, have you seen him raise before? is 5BB standard for him? Id say the PFR puts him on a very tight range, even more after calling your 3bet.
I think you should fold in this spot, and take notes if villain is raising/calling 3bets light, you should be able to exploit this in hands to come.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by ISF
Getting good at poker is like that scene in the matrix where Neo suddenly sees that everyone is just a bunch of structured numbers and then he starts bending those numbers in really weird ways.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
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I elected for c/f'ing because there's no way I have any fold equity in this spot.
I'm pretty sure his raise is standard because there's a poster so he's making it 4bb+1 for the dead blind.
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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Carroters
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
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This guy's opened utg, called a 3 bet then called our bet on a flop which hits his range pretty hard. Then, the worst card ever falls off on the turn so that much of his range that wasn't already beating us, is now beating us.
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Throw a 1/2 pot bet out there? Think he's got AJ, AT?
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The pot's big - why would we ever want to fire out a half bet pot which virtually commits us to stacking off when we're now clearly behind his range with no scope to improve on the river? We can't just make a retarded bet because we want to show him we aren't scared of the ace falling! This is a terrible reason to bet.
I'm really tired and about to go to bed, but this is surely the easiest c/f ever on the turn, nh.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
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Yeah I'm pretty sure c/f'ing is standard here. But how's my bet sizing preflop and on flop?
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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settecba
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: stealing blinds from UTG
Posts: 326
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Carroters
This guy's opened utg, called a 3 bet then called our bet on a flop which hits his range pretty hard. Then, the worst card ever falls off on the turn so that much of his range that wasn't already beating us, is now beating us.
Quote:
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Throw a 1/2 pot bet out there? Think he's got AJ, AT?
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The pot's big - why would we ever want to fire out a half bet pot which virtually commits us to stacking off when we're now clearly behind his range with no scope to improve on the river? We can't just make a retarded bet because we want to show him we aren't scared of the ace falling! This is a terrible reason to bet.
I'm really tired and about to go to bed, but this is surely the easiest c/f ever on the turn, nh.
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^^^^^This.
b/f turn is awful IMO. Also, what is your river plan OOP if villain calls your turn bet(which willl happen most of the time)????
NH micro.
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settecba
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: stealing blinds from UTG
Posts: 326
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
Yeah I'm pretty sure c/f'ing is standard here. But how's my bet sizing preflop and on flop?
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also standard?
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CBAT
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: NY
Posts: 831
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Sounds good, I actually like finding out I'm wrong - I can implement it into the next time I play.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by CBAT
Sounds good, I actually like finding out I'm wrong - I can implement it into the next time I play.
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that's what makes FTR so great. These guys help save us money in the future.
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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dranger7070
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2008
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c/f is fine. It won't be the last time you have KK.
PF: I don't mind 3x but I typically go for a 3.5-4x 3-bet size, especially with a hand as strong as KK. You want to get as much in the pot as possible while its likely you are still ahead.
Flop: Obviously no problem betting 2/3 pot here, but why not make it $2.50? or $3?. There's no rule that says you can't bet pot just because you 3-bet. Obviously the flop is mildly dangerous with a straight possible, but I'm not too worried about it yet with his raise PF. Obviously TT and JJ just got there, but you have to make his range wider than TT+.
He's gonna want to call with KJ, AJ, TT, JJ, QQ, AA, etc. You are obviously wanting to get it in on the flop, so bet as much as possible to do that. You would be amazed how often you get called even if you overbet the pot to 3.50. I'm not advocating this though lol.
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sil693
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Birmingham, UK
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by dranger7070
PF: I don't mind 3x but I typically go for a 3.5-4x 3-bet size, especially with a hand as strong as KK. You want to get as much in the pot as possible while its likely you are still ahead.
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especially as your OOP for the rest of the hand.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
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Yeah..since I'm going to be out of position should I be trying to set up the pot so that villain will pretty much have to go all in over top of my flop bet if he chooses to call?
For example he has $9, if I can get him to put in $2 preflop the pot will be $4. He'll have $7 left and If I pot the flop (Maybe even make it $4.50) I will completely shut out any draws and maybe have him stacking with a weaker pair. Of course it would just be a cooler if he did happen to flop a set or be holding AA, but we'll take down the pot often enough I think to make up for that.
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
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Uhhh yeah, Ni Han.
I started tp say peel cuz I'm a station but it's an annyoing lay down the best hand sometimes fold.
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Parasurama
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
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Posts: 820
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Is c/c really that bad?
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dranger7070
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Wake up in the mornin feelin' like P. Diddy
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Yea because if you c/c what are you hoping to accomplish on the river? He will never fold an Ace, and with the range the OP assigned him, TT+ AK, AQ, etc we are only really beating QQ right now. Easy fold.
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Sir Pawnalot
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Norway
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Completely agree with Dranger and Micro- only sensible hand you beat on turn is QQ. I do not think QQ is likely, because he would probably want to raise that hand on flop.
Villain opens UTG with 5 BB bet. This implies a lot of strength if villain is sensible. You could easily have made your preflop raise a bit bigger as you suggested and raised a bit more on flop.
Playing the hand as you did I think the turn C/F was brilliant. Those dollars we not lose adds to our profits.
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A foolish man learns nothing from his mistakes.
A smart man learns only from his own mistakes.
A wise man learns from his own mistakes, and those of the smart man and the fool.
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Parasurama
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: DMT
Posts: 820
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If we had his range beat on the flop, because the turn is such a good card for him to bet, his turn bet doesn't narrow his range much. If we c/c we can safely c/f the river and hopefully get a showdown. Idk maybe I'm just a station.
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Sir Pawnalot
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Norway
Posts: 668
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I do not think you are a station for wanting to check-call here.
But you are probably playing at higher stakes and forgetting that many players play very straightforward at 10NL. Hand ranges is much more defined in micro and we are way behind his range on turn. These guys do not think that deep that they represent the A...
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A foolish man learns nothing from his mistakes.
A smart man learns only from his own mistakes.
A wise man learns from his own mistakes, and those of the smart man and the fool.
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dranger7070
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Wake up in the mornin feelin' like P. Diddy
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That just seems really weak parasuma. Why would we c/c on turn then c/f on river? What is going to stop him from betting again? Its just not a line thats gonna make very much in the long run. And we're playing a long run game.
Why not just c/f and move on, instead of losing more money? We can save the $ now, and make more off the guy in a more favorable situation.
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bjsaust
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Ballarat, Australia
Posts: 5,842
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I would c/f almost never here.
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Just playing to improve.
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dranger7070
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Wake up in the mornin feelin' like P. Diddy
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by bjsaust
I would c/f almost never here.
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Care to elaborate?
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bjsaust
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Ballarat, Australia
Posts: 5,842
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What are you putting him on? UTG raise with AJ that called the c-bet? A set? He hasnt floated us with AK or AQ. KQ maybe. Theres just not a heap of hands we're behind now. I'd call turn and evaluate river. Folding isnt terrible, but the A didnt help him much.
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Just playing to improve.
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sil693
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Birmingham, UK
Posts: 609
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by bjsaust
He hasnt floated us with AK or AQ. KQ
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when was the last time you played 10NL??
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bjsaust
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Ballarat, Australia
Posts: 5,842
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Hmmm, yeah I guess. In my games I wouldnt c/f this but its probably fine here. Sucks though.
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Just playing to improve.
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St8ofN8
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 60
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I'd raise more pre and post flop. As played I think the c/f was the right move here. I don't see any advantage to calling the turn bet.
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settecba
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: stealing blinds from UTG
Posts: 326
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AK and AQ are floating this flop +90% of the time
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by ISF
Getting good at poker is like that scene in the matrix where Neo suddenly sees that everyone is just a bunch of structured numbers and then he starts bending those numbers in really weird ways.
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Parasurama
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: DMT
Posts: 820
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by dranger7070
That just seems really weak parasuma. Why would we c/c on turn then c/f on river? What is going to stop him from betting again? Its just not a line thats gonna make very much in the long run. And we're playing a long run game.
Why not just c/f and move on, instead of losing more money? We can save the $ now, and make more off the guy in a more favorable situation.
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Ok, it's fine to c/f at 10NL. But never dismiss a line just because you think it seems weak.
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dranger7070
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Wake up in the mornin feelin' like P. Diddy
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i hear you. I wasn't COMPLETELY dismissing the line, I was just speaking in terms of 10nl. I'm sure that c/c, c/f river would be fine at some of the higher stakes, but for this level it's not the best line imo.
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