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Folding AA at 20NL

  
 
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Carroters
Old 02-18-2009, 06:26 PM     Post subject: Folding AA at 20NL #1 (permalink)  
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 Viillain was really quiet up until now, hadn't seen him do much at all. He ran 15/3/2.4 over 67 hands. I wouldn't expect him to cold call this 3 bet out the bb lightly so I don't think AJ is in his range here. His fold bb to steal was 86% fwiw.

I hadn't been crazy active either, running 17/15 at this table.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.20 BB (6 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($27.50)
MP ($20.30)
Hero (CO) ($22.32)
Button ($20.30)
SB ($19.80)
BB ($19.28)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A
UTG raises $0.40, 1 fold, Hero raises $1.55, 2 folds, BB calls $1.35, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.60) 10, J, 8 (2 players)
BB bets $1.80, Hero calls $1.80

Turn: ($7.20) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $7.20, Hero folds

Total pot: $7.20

I wans't happy raising to get it in on this flop, should I be? My stab at his range on the turn would be something like: [AJs 88 99 1010 J10s 89s JJ QQ] Stoving that now I have just over 50% equity so prolly a bad fold. Thoughts?

 
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Fnord
Old 02-18-2009, 06:36 PM #2 (permalink)  
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In a re-raised pot heads-up to the flop Aces are the nuts. Would you flat call the nuts on this flop, then fold the nuts on the turn?

BB probably has Queens. If he's got Jacks or Tens, then I hope you suck back out.
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pocketfours
Old 02-18-2009, 06:39 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Carroters
Old 02-18-2009, 06:44 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Yeah thats what I expected - I just had a really ominus feeling he had 1010 or JJ at the time and was trying to protect his set on what he deemed to be a drawy board on the turn.

Bad bad bad.

 
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Carroters
Old 02-18-2009, 06:56 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 Argghh when I look at this HH he had QQ like 75% of the time. Wish I'd stop making these rash decisions based on impulse.

 
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