|
FaceLoran
|
11-21-2007, 05:51 AM
Post subject: Folded Second Set...What's my equity?
|
#1 (permalink)
|
|
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 10
|
|
Ok so this hand came up at the local Horseshoe yesterday. 1/3 NL. I raise to 11 from EP with JJ. Tight, very aggressive villain makes it 30 from MP. I call, flop comes AJ3 all hearts. I check, he bets 50. I figure he's either got...AA, KK with Kh, or AK with Kh. Maybe even AQ with Qh tho whether he'd reraise me with AQo is questionable. Anyways I raise to 125, he immediately shoves. He then declares that he has three Aces. I ask him if he really does. He says yes, shows me them. I fold of course. I had about 90 more and I think he thought I was on a draw and didn't want to gamble with me.
I was thinking about folding anyways because I really thought he had AA. He saved me the trouble though thankfully. I was wondering if someone could help me figure my equity against his range to see if a fold would have been a decent play had I not seen his cards? Thanks.
|
|
|
Play for FREE and practice your game at...
Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!
|
|
thizzSantaCruz
|
|
Full House
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Santa Cruz
Posts: 894
|
|
All in, cmon dude you really gonna fold middle set at a casino? If he has a flush you have redraws...If he has AA just spike runner runner hearts for the chop. Snap motha fuckin calllllll.
|
|
Flopping quads and boats like its my job
|
|
jyms
|
|
Tilting Mod
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,836
|
|
You folded w/$90 in a $400 plus pot w/redraws and possibly the best hand. Why would he tell you something to get you to fold? All in all day. I beat him to the middle. He has AK with a heart and needs the fold.
|
|
|
|
FaceLoran
|
|
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 10
|
|
Well the thing is I KNEW without a doubt he didnt have a flush there's just no way he woulda reraised me with 2 hearts without the Ace he was too tight for that.
|
|
|
|
Halv
|
|
pro crastinator
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: No hindsight for the blind.
Posts: 1,842
|
|
When he SHOWS the aces it is a clear fold, we have 6% equity and need 18% or so.
If he doesn't show them, however, it is an instacall. Even if his range is tight enough to only include AA and AK w/ king of hearts we've got more than enough equity:
Results from http:\\www.HoldEmRanger.com
17,820 evaluations, 18 hole card combos
Board: Ah Jh 3h
Wins Ties Equity
36.82% 1.14% 37.95% ( JJ )
60.91% 1.14% 62.05% ( AA, KhA )
Throw in KK with a heart and we're just shy of a coinflip:
Board: Ah Jh 3h
Wins Ties Equity
46.13% 0.76% 46.89% ( JJ )
52.36% 0.76% 53.11% ( AA, KhA, KhK )
If he plays AxQh like this 50% of the time we're a slight favorite:
Board: Ah Jh 3h
Wins Ties Equity
49.44% 0.65% 50.09% ( JJ )
49.26% 0.65% 49.91% ( AA, KhA, KhK, QhA(50) )
|
|
|
|
TheFaucet
|
|
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 21
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Trainer_jyms
All in all day. I beat him to the middle. He has AK with a heart and needs the fold.
|
OH REALLY
|
|
|
|
looshle
|
|
High Card
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 10
|
|
all in weeeeeeeee
|
|
|
|
martindcx1e
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 3,614
|
|
so did he really show you 3 aces during the hand? if so why are ppl saying to call?
|
|
Wikipedia is the best thing ever. Anyone in the world can write anything they want about any subject. So you know you are getting the best possible information.
|
English
Deutsch
Español
Français
Italiano
Nederlands
Pусский
Svenska
05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
Linear Mode
