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RiverGhost
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12-13-2005, 05:50 AM
Post subject: Is this even possible?
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#1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 42
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this isn't exactly a bad beat story so i wasn't sure where to post this...i need someone good at math to read this because the calculator on my computer can't calculate this...
the night started out with me flopping a straight on the first hand and folding it when a 3rd spade came on the turn. he had the flush. i barely had any chips left after that so i went all in in late position with 99. same flush guy called me and hit a flush on the river.
this is where it gets crazy...we started a side game and 2 of the first 5 hands where flushes and the other 3 were FULL HOUSES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
there was never more then 3 of a suit on the board at a time.
what are the odds on this?
from what i understand the odds of getting a full house are 1 in 700
the odds of getting a flush are 1 in 510.
i understand that after playing many hands you see a lot of weird things but why would this happen to me when i decided to play outside my bankroll for the first time that i can remember? there was also another first....it was the first time i played poker there without being high on ganja.
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bearcats05
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Flush
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 336
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i think your odds are wrong for gettting flushes and fullhouses...
i dont know the odds exactly but in know flushes are a lot more comon thatn 1 in 500 if your cards are suited going all the way to the river, or even the flop i think. im not sure what your talking about as far as chances there.
and having a pocket pair would give you higher chances of a fullhouse.
you seem like one of those guys who times "OMG OMG OMG WHAT ARE THE CHANCES OF THAT!?! HAS ANYBODY EVER SEEN THAT BEFORE?" when the flop comess all one card like 444
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EricE
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 894
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Of course it is possible. It is even possible for the flop to be AAA on three consecutive hands…it just isn’t likely.
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Stakes: Playing $0.10/$0.25 NL
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storm75m
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Flush
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: 6MAX-NL - Houston
Posts: 401
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wtf dude, it's cause you weren't high, obviously. you fcked up the rotation. puff puff pass. smoke next time, and play within your roll, and it'll be all good again. 
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Lack of Discipline and Over-Confidence... The root of all poker evil.
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lolzzz_321
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NO YOU
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: My ice is polarized
Posts: 2,797
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Dear Frank Garcia....
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MannerBoy
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12-13-2005, 04:38 PM
Post subject: Re: Is this even possible?
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#6 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 110
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by RiverGhost
what are the odds on this?
from what i understand the odds of getting a full house are 1 in 700
the odds of getting a flush are 1 in 510.
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uh?
Quote:
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Originally Posted by RiverGhost
this happen to me when i decided to play outside my bankroll for the first time
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Bankroll managment is a propaganda that Sklansky and his friends make it known to public in order to cut-profit from others.
After all , if u have the skill why care about minor stuff like play in ur roll ?
ps. online poker = rigged , my dad owns a pokerroom skin and i know this from inside
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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I CHOOSE YOU CHARIZARD!
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lolzzz_321
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NO YOU
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: My ice is polarized
Posts: 2,797
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Demiparadigm
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Party 6 max
Posts: 1,602
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Triptan3s
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Code:
# Username Location Joined Posts
32 Triptan3s White Bear Lake 14 Oct 2004 1147
33 Demiparadigm Party 3/6 09 Feb 2005 1127
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To win in poker you only need to be one step ahead of your opponents. Two steps may be detrimental.
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RiverGhost
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12-14-2005, 01:35 AM
Post subject: Re: Is this even possible?
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#10 (permalink)
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 42
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by MannerBoy
Quote:
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Originally Posted by RiverGhost
what are the odds on this?
from what i understand the odds of getting a full house are 1 in 700
the odds of getting a flush are 1 in 510.
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uh?
Quote:
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Originally Posted by RiverGhost
this happen to me when i decided to play outside my bankroll for the first time
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Bankroll managment is a propaganda that Sklansky and his friends make it known to public in order to cut-profit from others.
After all , if u have the skill why care about minor stuff like play in ur roll ?
ps. online poker = rigged , my dad owns a pokerroom skin and i know this from inside |
-it wasn't online
-i read sklansky all the time and i am aware of that.
...it doesn't quite hit home hard enough when i can't get a better job then the one i have in this shitty town
poker has paid for my marijuana since i started playing 5 months ago.
i have to smoke because the meds i've been told i need to take don't work.
my doctor says there is nothing wrong with me smoking but there is no way to regulate what strain i'm smoking unless i live somewhere where its legal or i grow it on my own..neither of those things are possible right now.
i am being dropped from my insurance in a couple weeks cuz i'm turning 25 so that means no more meds(they help better than nothing).
last week i missed almost a whole week of work due to my mental illness and felt that since i make the money at least 3/5 tournaments it was my only hope to get through this week.
-i took a shot..i'm broke. only for twice as long as it would have been had i not played. it happens. its just weird that it had to happen in that fassion. no bad beat at the poker table has ever really effected me much at all compared to to the ups and downs my illness has brought me. sorry if it seemed like i was whining. thats poker. let it be a lesson.
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RiverGhost
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 42
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by EricE
Of course it is possible. It is even possible for the flop to be AAA on three consecutive hands…it just isn’t likely.
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actually one of the flops was AAA..no one had a full house on that one
there was another full house later in that game that had its highs and lows.....with no limpers i went all in with KJ from the button cuz i had about 4X the blind...the big blind who was now even shorter stacked called me with 55..he hit one on the flop..the turn was a King and the River was a King..he was devastated got up shook my hand and started walking away..of course we then realized he had the full house so yeah...that was pretty much how the night ended for me.
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edudlive
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: 100NL 6max
Posts: 623
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You guys can't shuffle for shit it seems.
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(16:02:25) Fleece: u think ur liked now?
(16:02:31) Fleece: that u got real life friends
(16:02:48) Fleece: enjoy ur real life friends
(16:03:08) Fleece: ur e-friends dont wanna knwo about u anymore
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KoRnholio
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,165
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omg.. This one time.. At bandcamp.. The flop came 2h 6s 9c for one hand and the very next hand it came 5s Qs Ad. What are the odds??!
Answer: the very same as any 3 specific cards multiplied by 3 more specific cards. Doesn't matter if it's Ah Ac Ad and then Kc Ks Kh or those two flops above.
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Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
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RiverGhost
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 42
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by KoRnholio
omg.. This one time.. At bandcamp.. The flop came 2h 6s 9c for one hand and the very next hand it came 5s Qs Ad. What are the odds??!
Answer: the very same as any 3 specific cards multiplied by 3 more specific cards. Doesn't matter if it's Ah Ac Ad and then Kc Ks Kh or those two flops above.
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no shit sherlock
i'm always aware of that ....but what would it take to freak u out? 3 royal flushes in a row?
maybe it was just the fact that i was playing with the fear of going broke or the lack of ganja that was distorting my perception. i was finding it hard to make mathematical sound decisions because every time there was 3 of a suit or a pair on the board i thought i had to lay my hand down. i was right every time. maybe i was just making lucky reads?
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Lukie
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by KoRnholio
omg.. This one time.. At bandcamp.. The flop came 2h 6s 9c for one hand and the very next hand it came 5s Qs Ad. What are the odds??!
Answer: the very same as any 3 specific cards multiplied by 3 more specific cards. Doesn't matter if it's Ah Ac Ad and then Kc Ks Kh or those two flops above.
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I'm glad somebody else understands this concept.
It also makes me laugh at my friend's house when something like this happens:
Flop 1: Ad, Qh, 8s
Flop 2: Ah, Qs, 5c
"Oh my god, didn't you shuffle? Why are the same cards out there again??"
Me: *Sigh as I shake my head ever so slightly*
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Checkways
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12-14-2005, 06:19 AM
Post subject: Re: Is this even possible?
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#16 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 249
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That is pretty crazy. But of course, it's possible.
You know the old saying, the chances of being in a plane crash are the same as getting two royal flushes in a row. I've only gotten two of them in my entire life. So I guess that means whenever a plane crashes someone got two royal flushes in a row and is telling all their friends about it this amazing occurance. Which it is. But still possible.
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badandy519
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Straight
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: mckinney, tx
Posts: 223
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Hmmm, never heard that one before...... But I'll take the 2 royals in a row, you can have the plane crash.
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Checkways
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Straight
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 249
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by badandy519
Hmmm, never heard that one before...... But I'll take the 2 royals in a row, you can have the plane crash.
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If I take the plane crash, can I have the girl in your picture? I'm a risk taker, I know.
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badandy519
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Straight
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: mckinney, tx
Posts: 223
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She's not too bad, just some random internet girl
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salt3d
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 69
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I just got my internet connected at my new house, and in the first session I played, I caught my very first straight flush. What a welcome-back present; I swear poker wants to be my friend.
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journey075
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 725
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you have to smoke because the meds you need to take dont work?
what?
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RiverGhost
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 42
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by journey075
you have to smoke because the meds you need to take dont work?
what?
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i guess i should say that mj would work as a med on its own if i always had the right strain to choose from. thus far all the meds i've taken have had some pretty nasty side effects and pretty much any mj takes care of the side effects. does that make more sense?
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