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Chasing outs heads-up

  
 
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DoanDiggy
Old 10-12-2008, 05:41 AM     Post subject: Chasing outs heads-up #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 536
DoanDiggy
This is from my most recent SnG. I feel like I played really well all match, and if there's one hand that swung the match, it's this one. We had been going back and forth heads-up for a long time (raising from the button with anything playable), and I was hoping to catch a card and bust him on this one.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00+$0.20 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (2 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (Button) (t7315)
SB (t6185)

Hero's M: 24.38

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8, J
Hero raises to t600, SB calls t400

Flop: (t1200) 10, 2, 3 (2 players)
SB bets t400, Hero calls t400

Turn: (t2000) Q (2 players)
SB bets t1600, Hero calls t1600

River: (t5200) 7 (2 players)
SB bets t3585 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: t5200


I was putting him on a middle PP or a pair of tens after the turn, so I figured I had 15 or so outs going to the river. Should I have played this differently? I had just bet on a stone-cold bluff on the last hand (27 on rainbow board), but he called with a gutshot and it unfortunately went to showdown (where we split the pot, interestingly enough), so I'm not sure how much stock he would have put in a raise on this hand. Still, should I have folded or raised somewhere, or did I play this one correctly?
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Stacks
Old 10-12-2008, 06:24 AM #2 (permalink)  
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4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Im opedipus bitch, the original balla.
Posts: 2,605
Stacks will become famous soon enoughStacks will become famous soon enough
 Have you read up about pot odds, and implied odds?? This will help with your situation.
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DoanDiggy
Old 10-12-2008, 07:47 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 536
DoanDiggy
Yeah, I know about them, which is why I figured I had to make the call. Putting 1600 into a 3600 pot represents 30.8% of the resulting pot. Since 15 outs to the river has a 32.6% chance of hitting, I'm already getting pot odds. I figure on being able to get more on the river with a winning hand as well, so I also had some implied odds.

I guess I just wanted some reassurance , and also perhaps to know whether pushing or raising at any point would have given me the fold equity to make the hand even better, or if ICM calls for anything different (I'm less familiar with ICM than odds, although I know that sometimes the results can be counterintuitive).

Actually, looking back, it turns out this wasn't my worst hand. The very next hand I called a big pre-flop bet with K8o, which I of course had to fold after the flop. This hand cost me just as much as that other one, so maybe I should have taken tilt equity into account on the above hand as well .
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Stacks
Old 10-12-2008, 08:01 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Im opedipus bitch, the original balla.
Posts: 2,605
Stacks will become famous soon enoughStacks will become famous soon enough
 You could take this hand to the SNG forum and get better answers, as while I know about ICM, I haven't played SNGs in a while.
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