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trilerian

09-25-2009, 08:42 PM Post subject: Boring hand

#1 (permalink)

Straight

Join Date: Nov 2008

Posts: 124

MP1 is loose and weak. I give him credit for hand pre, he is only raising pre with 5%, probably QQ+, AK.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($15.87)
UTG+1 ($1.61)
MP1 ($4.95)
MP2 ($1)
MP3 ($0.95)
CO ($1)
Hero (Button) ($3.22)
SB ($6.57)
BB ($1.35)

Preflop: Hero is Button with

2 folds, MP1 bets $0.08, 2 folds, CO (poster) calls $0.06, Hero calls $0.08, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.27)

(3 players)
MP1 bets $0.22, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.22

Turn: ($0.71)

(2 players)
MP1 bets $0.42, Hero calls $0.42

River: ($1.55)

(2 players)
MP1 bets $0.64, Hero raises to $1.50, MP1 calls $0.86

Total pot: $4.55 | Rake: $0.20

Villain is only c-betting 45%, so I'm pretty sure QQ+ is his postflop range, but maybe AcKc as well
So I have 35.47% vs his range and I'm getting 2.23:1, but if villain has QQ+ and I hit my draw I should be able to get something for my effort, implied odds and all, but how much do I need to get here to make it a +EV play?

On the turn I want to raise his bet, but that generally sets the alarms off right. If I raise the turn then he thinks I either hit my set, str8, two pair or air. So he may call and c/f any river that he doesn't improve on, which I think is slightly less profitable then just calling and letting him make another value bet on the river. The only hand that I have him on post flop that can beat us on the river is AcKc if he hits a club, but I really don't think he has this when he fires the 2nd barrel on the turn.

River card isn't the greatest, but I got to raise anyways, I figure a good value raise that gets shoved over by AA is good. Do you think I can raise more here?

Grinding my way to 100NL, 1 2NL bb at a time.

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surviva316

09-25-2009, 09:31 PM

#2 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Feb 2009

Location: Confusing people with my liberal biblicisms

Posts: 1,625

surviva316 will become famous soon enough

raising the turn doesn't set the alarms off as much as the half of the deck that 3-flushes or 4-straights the board

Quote:

Originally Posted by BooG690

I just wanted to share singing vaginas.

09-25-2009, 09:56 PM

#3 (permalink)

Guest

Posts: n/a

raising turn is kind of lol alarm bell, but he's a weak player so just raise when you hit
even if you raise half pot to 1.20 on the turn, that makes the pot 3 bucks on the river that you can shove

also bad raise amount on the river
even half pot raise is more than $2 and that makes me want to jam since you have like $3 left and that's smaller than a pot raise

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