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johnny_fish
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08-03-2006, 09:55 PM
Post subject: Blind defense
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
Posts: 2,186
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Shorthanded game, folded to Button who raises 3½bb. Button steals top 25% of hands. SB folds, Hero is BB. What range is optimal to reraise?
Let's make some assumptions. There are 2 options:
1- Reraise with a tight range; QQ+/AK (2.6%).
2- Reraise with a looser range: 88+, AJ+, KQ, ATs, KJs (8.6%)
What happens if a reraise only gets called by QQ+/AK?
1- Hero wins 90% of the time 5bb. The other 10% Hero has ~50% equity in a ~25bb pot with initiative but without position. Let's assume these two cancel out. So EV=.9*5+.1*0=4.5bb.
2. Hero wins 90% of the time 5bb. The other 10% Hero has ~34% equity.. Let's assume Hero loses on average 15bb in these situations (losing cbets a lot). EV=.9*5-.1*15=3.0bb.
The second scenario happens 3 times as often though, so if the original raiser has a very tight calling range, reraising light is optimal.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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How well does he play post-flop in these spots?
Are we swinging for fences here or re-stealing?
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johnny_fish
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
Posts: 2,186
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Fnord
How well does he play post-flop in these spots?
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How should our reraising range change if he's a fish or a solid thinking player?
Quote:
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Are we swinging for fences here or re-stealing?
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I don't understand what you mean by this. We're just looking to get the most EV.
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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i reraise light to encourage action, re-stealing provides me with enough bbs to bluff off n not so good spots so that subsequently i get big/stack action in other spots where i want it.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by johnny_fish
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Fnord
How well does he play post-flop in these spots?
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How should our reraising range change if he's a fish or a solid thinking player?
Quote:
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Are we swinging for fences here or re-stealing?
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I don't understand what you mean by this. We're just looking to get the most EV. |
Limit table is one tab over (sorry too easy.)
I think you're focusing too much on your cards and not enough on what the Button is really up to and how he's going to play this.
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magneticskull
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Straight
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: NYC
Posts: 138
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Sounds like someone is trying to script a bot.
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There is no such thing as free checking...
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