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Bad Fold AA? Hand review

  
 
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Fedora
Old 08-20-2009, 10:18 PM     Post subject: Bad Fold AA? Hand review #1 (permalink)  
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At the moment, the way he was betting, i was sure he had KK or QQ. Any input would be good

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BB ($5.35)
UTG ($10.88)
UTG+1 ($15.83)
MP1 ($3.96)
MP2 ($3.22)
Hero (CO) ($10.38)
Button ($1.85)
SB ($10.53)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A
4 folds, Hero bets $0.40, 1 fold, SB calls $0.35, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.90) 4, Q, 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.70, SB calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.30) 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2

River: ($6.30) K (2 players)
SB bets $3.50, Hero folds

Total pot: $6.30 | Rake: $0.42
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Gobbatino
Old 08-20-2009, 10:27 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Assuming the somewhat pessimistic range of {QQ+,44,22,AQs+,KQs,AQo+,KQo}, you have 36.765% equity, need 35.8% to call I believe. Bit marginal, not a bad fold. Got any reads? He passive/aggressive? Would help with the range. Also if you think he's ever bluffing here gotta take that into consideration. Again, reads, plx.
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jyms
Old 08-20-2009, 10:34 PM #3 (permalink)  
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you only need to fold 1/3 times to make his bet correct so the fact that you fold AA here makes it a great bet by him, if you fold a Q here he is making a great bet. You only need to call and win this hand a little more than 1/4 of the time to make a call correct. Do you think your beat here 75% of the time? Does he ever have AK, a FD or an AQ here?
 
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Sir Pawnalot
Old 08-20-2009, 10:58 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I call.

If he has you beat- that is ok, because when you have AA beat in this situation- you get his whole stack.
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Roller
Old 08-21-2009, 12:35 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Call ........

Please Call ...........

Did someone say call ..............
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littleogre
Old 08-21-2009, 07:48 PM #6 (permalink)  

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not sure why he would donk the river but it's an easy call. If he had a big hand wouldn't he try to c-raise on the river? Also i would remove QQ from his range. Unless he is a supernit he would raise that hand. Also remove AKs
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nish81
Old 08-21-2009, 08:20 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Against a range of KK-QQ,44,22,AQs,KJs+,AQo,KQo,QJo, I give you 46% equity, but I think that range might be a bit too optimistic. I'd call though
<JustinSKS> Tha'ts why I fold my 33 to 72o, because 7 high beats, 1 pair, donk.

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CrazyAndy27s
Old 08-22-2009, 02:30 AM #8 (permalink)  

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I would always call here, mainly because he only flatted you preflop (making KK and QQ in his range less likely) and he only beats you with KQ, 44, 66, 22 here or possibly even 35, but he could have the likes of AQ, AK, JQ, JK etc here alot of the time
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bigspenda73
Old 08-22-2009, 02:38 AM #9 (permalink)  
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he has KQ a lot

not sure what else he can have tbh
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littleogre
Old 08-22-2009, 07:04 AM #10 (permalink)  

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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
he has KQ a lot

not sure what else he can have tbh
At 2 nl when a player donks the river it just means they are saying hey buddy the river card hit me. It doesn't always mean a big hand though. They love to bet when they pair on the river and the river card is the highest on the board.
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bigspenda73
Old 08-22-2009, 07:24 AM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by littleogre
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
he has KQ a lot

not sure what else he can have tbh
At 2 nl when a player donks the river it just means they are saying hey buddy the river card hit me. It doesn't always mean a big hand though. They love to bet when they pair on the river and the river card is the highest on the board.
ok, well what Kx hands hit that aren't 2 pair?
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FateAver
Old 08-22-2009, 08:12 AM #12 (permalink)  
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I will call here maybe he has AQ heart or AK heart
if he hit set he should reraise you at turn
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Parasurama
Old 08-22-2009, 09:00 AM #13 (permalink)  
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Agree that this is 2pr made on the river a lot, idk if you can fold though, you're probably good often enough
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littleogre
Old 08-22-2009, 11:26 AM #14 (permalink)  

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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
Quote:
Originally Posted by littleogre
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
he has KQ a lot

not sure what else he can have tbh
At 2 nl when a player donks the river it just means they are saying hey buddy the river card hit me. It doesn't always mean a big hand though. They love to bet when they pair on the river and the river card is the highest on the board.
ok, well what Kx hands hit that aren't 2 pair?
If villain is terrible he could show up with KT or KJ. I'm not disagreeing with you about it usually being 2 pair. You play higher then me anyway just saying it's something we beat often enough to make a call
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Micro2Macro
Old 08-22-2009, 07:57 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
he has KQ a lot

not sure what else he can have tbh
I agree with this 100%

I doubt QQ/KK is in his range often enough to worry about them Fedora. This line is pretty strong though, if villain just had Qx without filling his 2 pair he likely would have just check/called the river.
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